Iran’s armed forces warn ceasefire could aid US regrouping
Iran’s Armed Forces have expressed skepticism about ceasefire talks, suggesting it might allow the US to regroup and strike again....
Iran’s
Iran hints at reopening Strait of Hormuz, ceasefire odds drop
Iran’s suggestion of reopening the Strait of Hormuz signals possible de-escalation. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 have...
Iran threatens long-term strait closure as US plans tariffs
Iran’s threat to close the Strait of Hormuz long-term has rattled markets. The chance of a US-Iran ceasefire by April...
Iran’s largest bridge collapses amid crisis
Iran’s largest bridge collapsed on April 2, 2026, during the Strait of Hormuz crisis. The market for the Iranian regime’s...
Iran’s mobarakeh plant halts production, tensions spike in Strait of Hormuz
Iran’s Mobarakeh steel plant has stopped production due to strikes. Iran is also coordinating with Oman to manage the Strait...
Iran’s oversight proposal in Strait of Hormuz drops ceasefire odds
Iran’s plan for tanker oversight in the Strait of Hormuz and its identification of strike targets have lowered the odds...
Iran’s top advisor warns US on Strait of Hormuz, ceasefire odds drop
Iran’s Expediency Discernment Council has warned the US to stop “futile attempts,” reinforcing Tehran’s stance on the Strait of Hormuz....
Iran IRGC unit commander killed amid US-Israeli campaign
Iran’s IRGC Fatehin unit commander was killed in a US-Israeli operation targeting Iranian leadership. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Iran’s parliament speaker claims 7 million fighters ready, ceasefire odds drop
Iran’s Parliament Speaker announced that 7 million Iranians are prepared to fight the US and Israel. The odds for a...
Iran’s IRGC defies trump’s threats, impacting regime stability odds
Iran’s IRGC criticized Trump’s threats, with the odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 dropping to 10% YES....
Iran attacks gulf aluminum sites, escalating US-linked conflict
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards hit steel and aluminum sites in Bahrain and the UAE tied to the US, escalating tensions. The...
Iran invites global powers to negotiate Strait of Hormuz transit
Iran’s invitation to European, Asian, and Arab nations to discuss transit through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped the odds...
Iran’s foreign minister targeted in assassination attempt, wife killed
Iran’s foreign minister was critically injured in an assassination attempt at his home, resulting in his wife’s death. The odds...
Iran’s army chief warns of ‘total destruction’ for ground invasion
Iran’s army chief warned of “total destruction” if a ground invasion occurs. Odds for US forces entering Iran by April...
Iran’s IRGC vows retaliation against U.S., escalating tensions
Iran’s IRGC has warned of retaliation against U.S. interests if attacked, challenging U.S. claims of avoiding civilian casualties. This statement...
