Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
## Market Snapshot Israel’s airspace closure market is currently priced at 1.6% YES for May 8 and 16.5% YES for...
Israel
Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
## Market Snapshot The market for whether Israel will close its airspace by May 8 is currently priced at 3.4%...
Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
## Market Snapshot The market for whether Israel will close its airspace by May 8 is currently priced at 3.4%...
IDF strikes Hezbollah targets, impacting Israel withdrawal market sentiment
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market, odds are currently at 6% YES,...
Hezbollah’s unjammable drones escalate Israel-Lebanon tensions, impact withdrawal odds
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon” market sees a decrease in YES pricing, with current odds at 6.5%...
Israel vows more destruction in Lebanon amid ongoing military operations
## Market Snapshot The market for “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026” is currently priced at...
Israeli cities open shelters amid rising threat of Iranian attacks
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?” is currently priced at 100% YES....
Israel intercepts projectiles from Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel withdraws from Lebanon” market, the June 30, 2026, sub-market is priced at 9.5% YES,...
Saudi mediation in Lebanon stalls amid internal divisions, impacting Israel withdrawal
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026” market is currently priced at 2% YES, down...
Hezbollah escalates conflict with Israel using fibre-optic drones in Lebanon
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down...
Hezbollah resurgence complicates Israeli withdrawal, US-Iran ceasefire talks
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market, the YES pricing has decreased to...
Spirit Airlines shuts down amid US-Iran-Israel conflict and rising fuel costs
## Market Snapshot “Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?” is now resolved at 100% YES. The “fall of...
US pushes Aoun-Netanyahu meeting for Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon
## Market Snapshot The market for “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” is currently priced at 9% YES,...
Israeli shelling on Labour Day escalates tensions in Lebanon
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?” market, the YES probability is at 0.1%,...
Israel orders evacuation of Lebanese towns ahead of planned military strikes
## Market Snapshot The “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon” market currently prices at 0.1% YES for April 30, 2026, 3% YES...
