IDF strikes Hezbollah targets, impacting Israel withdrawal market sentiment
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market, odds are currently at 6% YES,...
lebanon
Hezbollah’s unjammable drones escalate Israel-Lebanon tensions, impact withdrawal odds
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon” market sees a decrease in YES pricing, with current odds at 6.5%...
Israel ramps up military operations in Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
## Market Snapshot Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 2.4% YES, down from 3%...
Hezbollah rejects direct talks with Israel, impacting Lebanon withdrawal outlook
## Market Snapshot Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10%...
IDF deploys Iron Drone Raider in Lebanon amid Hezbollah drone threat
## Market Snapshot Israel Withdraws from Lebanon market is currently priced at 9% YES for June 30, 2026, and 3.7%...
Israel intercepts projectiles from Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel withdraws from Lebanon” market, the June 30, 2026, sub-market is priced at 9.5% YES,...
Saudi mediation in Lebanon stalls amid internal divisions, impacting Israel withdrawal
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026” market is currently priced at 2% YES, down...
Hezbollah escalates conflict with Israel using fibre-optic drones in Lebanon
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down...
Hezbollah resurgence complicates Israeli withdrawal, US-Iran ceasefire talks
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market, the YES pricing has decreased to...
US pushes Aoun-Netanyahu meeting for Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon
## Market Snapshot The market for “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” is currently priced at 9% YES,...
Hezbollah refuses to disarm, impacting Israeli withdrawal outlook
## Market Snapshot Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026: 9.5% YES (24h ago: 10%). Iran Military Action by...
Israeli shelling on Labour Day escalates tensions in Lebanon
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?” market, the YES probability is at 0.1%,...
Israel orders evacuation of Lebanese towns ahead of planned military strikes
## Market Snapshot The “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon” market currently prices at 0.1% YES for April 30, 2026, 3% YES...
IDF struggles with Hezbollah drone threat, impacting Lebanon withdrawal plans
## Market Snapshot Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon market shows a 0.1% YES for April 30, 2026, unchanged from 24 hours...
Trump urges Netanyahu to limit Lebanon strikes as ceasefire falters
Trump advised Netanyahu to keep Lebanon strikes “surgical” as the ceasefire falters. The Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30 market sits...
