Iran conflict, inflation complicate Fed rate cuts for 2026
## Market Snapshot In the “Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026” market, the probability of no rate cuts is currently...
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US to guide ships through Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently priced with an expectation of a substantial increase,...
Iran vows retaliation if US resumes attacks amid ceasefire tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran Leadership Status by End of 2026 market shows ongoing uncertainty, with pricing suggesting instability in leadership....
Naftali Bennett announces candidacy for Israeli Prime Minister in 2026 election
## Market Snapshot In the “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?” market, YES pricing is at 4.5% for June 30,...
Brazil to unveil measures on household debt amid high Selic rate
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for the Bank of Brazil’s decision on the Selic rate in April 2026 is...
Ukrainian drone strike hits Moscow high-rise, impacting ceasefire market
## Market Snapshot The “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?” market shows a current 5.7% YES pricing, down...
Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, oil supply disruption impacts Asia
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently priced with uncertainty about hitting the $150 mark....
US Navy uses AI to detect mines, expedite Strait of Hormuz traffic
## Market Snapshot The market for “Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization” appears impacted, with AI-enhanced mine detection potentially supporting a...
Trump signals continued Hormuz blockade as strategic measure
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 36% YES, down from 40% a day ago...
Medvedev warns of nuclear apocalypse amid Russia-NATO tensions
## Market Snapshot Russia-NATO invasion market: Priced at 2.4% YES, down from 3% a day ago. Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market: Active...
US envoy accuses Iran of illegal sea mines, escalating Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot Iranian demands market is seeing a decrease in YES pricing, reflecting skepticism about Trump agreeing to Iranian...
Bitcoin surges past $79K amid US-Iran geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s price has surpassed $79,000 amid current geopolitical tensions. The market for Bitcoin being above $66,000 on...
20,000 sailors stranded amid US-Iran blockade in Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The market on whether Donald Trump will announce the lifting of the U.S. blockade of the Strait...
Middle East conflict fuels ECB rate cut speculation amid recession fears
## Market Snapshot The ECB interest rates market for April 2026 is currently priced at 100% YES for a 50+...
Ethereum price hits $2,350 amid US-Iran tensions, institutional inflows rise
## Market Snapshot Ethereum price on May 3 is 99.9% YES for exceeding $1,800, reflecting a stable increase from last...
