US aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush conducts operations in Arabian Sea
## Market Snapshot The market assessing whether 20 ships will transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May...
market
Coinbase lays off 14% of workforce as Brian Armstrong bets on AI-native operating model
Brian Armstrong said Coinbase is cutting its workforce by around 14% as it responds to a weaker market environment and...
Maersk ship transits Strait of Hormuz under US military escort amid tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 25.5% YES, reflecting a decrease from 34% just...
US-Iran tensions drive rupee to record low, impact oil and Bitcoin markets
## Market Snapshot The Bitcoin price market for May 7 is currently priced at 99.8% YES, slightly down from 100%...
Iran missile strike on US Navy escalates tensions, potential for US response
## Market Snapshot The “US Declaration of War on Iran” market is currently priced at 8.5% for a YES outcome,...
$226M in crypto short positions liquidated amid US-Iran-Israel tensions
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price predictions for May 8 are currently priced at 99.6% YES, down slightly from 100% 24...
Trump ends hostilities with Iran, reducing pressure on presidency
## Market Snapshot The “Trump Out as President before 2027” market currently exhibits pricing supportive of a NO outcome, following...
IRGC tightens control over Persian Gulf, impacting Strait of Hormuz transit
## Market Snapshot Kharg Island Control Changes: Current pricing shows 11.5% YES for June 30 and 7.5% YES for May...
Israeli cities open shelters amid rising threat of Iranian attacks
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?” is currently priced at 100% YES....
Spirit Airlines to cease operations after failed bailout talks
## Market Snapshot The market for Spirit Airlines’ potential shutdown by May 31 is currently priced at 100% YES. This...
CLARITY Act Progress Drives Crypto Rally, Bitcoin Jumps To $81,000
The crypto market got a strong boost after progress on the CLARITY Act. U.S. Senators Thom Tillis and Angela Alsobrooks...
Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs see $593M inflows amid geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price on May 4 is currently priced at 0.1% YES for being less than $68,000, unchanged...
Iran accuses US of killing civilians, raising airspace closure risks
## Market Snapshot Iran’s airspace closure market shows a 22.5% YES probability for closure by May 8, up from 14%...
Iran threatens European bases amid rising geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot Fall of the Iranian Regime market currently shows a 2.6% YES probability for May 31, indicating a...
Iran solidifies stance on Hormuz amid US blockade tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz...
