Bennett, Lapid form “Together” bloc, challenging Netanyahu ahead of 2026 elections
## Market Snapshot The “Next Israeli Prime Minister” market currently suggests a decrease in the probability of Benjamin Netanyahu retaining...
minister
Iran security council unifies on war decisions, reinforcing regime stability
Iran’s security council has unified on war decisions, according to a government minister. The odds for an Iranian leadership change...
Netanyahu not invited to Washington amid US-Iran tensions
Israel’s Prime Minister Netanyahu hasn’t been invited to Washington, according to his office. The odds of Netanyahu’s departure by June...
Japan’s PM engages with Iran for safe Strait of Hormuz passage
Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is diplomatically engaging with Iran for safe passage of vessels through the Strait of Hormuz....
Lebanon PM condemns Israel for ‘war crimes’ after attack kills 3 rescue workers
Lebanon’s Prime Minister labeled Israeli attacks as “war crimes” after three rescue workers were killed. The Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June...
UK MPs reject probe into PM Starmer over Mandelson appointment
MPs voted down a motion to investigate Prime Minister Keir Starmer for allegedly misleading Parliament about Peter Mandelson’s appointment. The...
Putin meets Iranian officials, confirming diplomatic ties without military shift
Sergey Lavrov welcomed Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi for discussions with President Vladimir Putin, confirming a YES resolution for “Putin...
Netanyahu’s stance dims hopes for Israel-Iran peace deal by April 30
Prime Minister Netanyahu’s assertion of continued hostilities with Iran casts doubt on a swift resolution. The odds of an Israel-Iran...
UK PM faces vote on Mandelson inquiry as key figures prepare to testify
The UK Prime Minister faces a parliamentary vote on the Mandelson vetting inquiry, with the market on Keir Starmer being...
Labour MPs soften stance on welfare cuts, boosting Starmer’s leadership stability
Key Labour MPs are beginning to accept the necessity of UK welfare reforms, potentially stabilizing Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s leadership....
Iran strengthens Russia ties, complicating US peace talks
Iran’s foreign minister emphasized continued strategic relations with Russia after meeting with Putin, and the odds of a US-Iran permanent...
Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz amid sovereignty talks with Putin
Putin’s recent contact with Iran’s new Ayatollah and remarks to Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi frame Iran as “fighting for...
Two-thirds of Israelis dissatisfied with Netanyahu’s leadership, survey shows
A new survey shows two-thirds of Israelis are dissatisfied with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s leadership. On Polymarket, the odds of...
Netanyahu orders forceful attacks on Hezbollah targets in Lebanon
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has directed his forces to “forcefully” attack Hezbollah targets in Lebanon. The odds of a...
Iranian FM heads to Pakistan for US-Iran ceasefire talks
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is en route to Islamabad as part of diplomatic efforts to extend the US-Iran ceasefire,...
