Iran warns of retaliation, raising crude oil supply disruption concerns
Iran’s Vice President Esmail Saghab Esfahani warned of retaliation against countries supporting attacks on Iran’s infrastructure. The Crude Oil Predictions...
President
Trump to visit Beijing for summit with Xi on May 14-15
President Trump is confirmed to visit Beijing for a summit with President Xi, scheduled for May 14-15. The odds of...
Zelensky urges end to Russian nuclear threats on Chornobyl anniversary
President Zelensky marked the 40th anniversary of Chornobyl by urging an end to “Russian nuclear terrorism.” The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by...
Gunman targets Trump at White House Correspondents’ Dinner, leaders evacuated
A gunman opened fire at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, targeting President Trump. Odds for a Trump public insult by...
Iran refuses talks under pressure, reinforcing uranium enrichment deadlock
President Masoud Pezeshkian declared Iran’s refusal to engage in talks while under pressure or blockade. Odds for Iran agreeing to...
Trump evacuated from White House dinner amid US-Iran tensions
President Trump was evacuated from the White House correspondents’ dinner in Washington, D.C., during a period of heightened US-Iran tensions....
Trump cancels envoy trip to Pakistan, impacting US-Iran peace prospects
President Trump has canceled a trip by US envoys to Pakistan, and the odds of a US-Iran permanent peace deal...
Slovenia’s president declines to propose PM candidate amid coalition impasse
Slovenia’s president has opted not to propose a candidate for prime minister after initial talks with political parties failed to...
Trump orders Navy to target mine-laying boats in Strait of Hormuz
President Trump ordered the U.S. Navy to shoot boats laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, and the market for...
China denies Trump’s claim of Iranian ship as ‘gift,’ complicating visit plans
China has dismissed President Trump’s claim that an intercepted Iranian ship was a “gift from China.” The diplomatic dispute has...
Trump orders US Navy to target mines in Strait of Hormuz
President Trump has ordered the US Navy to target mines in the Strait of Hormuz, and the Polymarket contract on...
Hezbollah dismisses Trump’s Israel-Lebanon ceasefire extension as ‘meaningless’
Hezbollah called President Trump’s three-week extension of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire “meaningless.” The market for an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30...
Iran warns of retaliation on Saudi oil facilities amid rising tensions
Esmail Saqab Esfahani, a deputy to Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, warned that any attack on Iran’s oil infrastructure will trigger...
Macron pushes for European support in Lebanon, plans regional conference
French President Emmanuel Macron is rallying Europe to aid Lebanon and has announced an upcoming conference involving regional countries. The...
Trump suggests Oval Office meeting for Israeli, Lebanese leaders within weeks
Trump suggested Lebanese President Joseph Aoun and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could meet in the Oval Office within three...
