probability

Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid Israel-Iran military escalation

2 days ago

Israel’s attack on Iran’s oil facilities and Iran’s disruption of the Strait of Hormuz have hit the probability of a...

Market predicts 86% chance of US forces entering Iran by April 30

2 days ago

Iraqi militias and Iran launched missiles and drones at U.S. embassies and bases. The probability of US forces entering Iran...

Odds of US forces entering Iran by april 30 rise to 63% after trump’s speech

4 days ago

Following President Trump’s recent address, the probability of US forces entering Iran by April 30 rose to 63% YES, up...

Paradigm Is Building a Prediction Markets Trading Terminal Targeting Professional Traders

4 days ago

TLDR: Table of Contents Paradigm partner Arjun Balaji has been leading the trading terminal project since late 2025 for pro traders. The firm is exploring...

Bitcoin, ETH, Nasdaq Selloff Aligns With K BTC Setup

Bitcoin, ETH, Nasdaq Selloff Aligns With $38K BTC Setup

1 week ago

TLDR: Table of Contents BTC lost 67K support and confirmed a bear flag continuation with $49K as the first clean downside target. Stablecoin dominance breakout...

Hyperliquid HIP-3 Sets .4B Single-Day Record as Commodity Trading Takes Center Stage

Hyperliquid HIP-3 Sets $5.4B Single-Day Record as Commodity Trading Takes Center Stage

2 weeks ago

TLDR: Table of Contents Hyperliquid HIP-3 recorded a $5.4 billion all-time high in perpetual trading volume on March 23, 2025. Silver led all assets with...

Kalshi to Block Athletes and Politicians from Trading on Prediction Markets

2 weeks ago

TLDR: Table of Contents Kalshi partners with IC360 to screen and block athletes and coaches at registration before any trades are placed. Polymarket bans trading...

Silver Crashes 50% in 53 Days: Is Jane Street the Firm Behind the Collapse?

2 weeks ago

TLDR: Table of Contents Silver dropped from $121.64 to $65 in 53 days, with 25% of the loss coming after Jane Street’s filing went public....

$7 Trillion Quadruple Witching Friday Triggers Historic Derivatives Expiration on Wall Street

2 weeks ago

TLDR: Table of Contents An estimated $5.7 to $7.1 trillion in derivatives expired on March 20, marking the largest March witching in history. The CBOE...