Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks
## Market Snapshot Iran’s potential uranium transfer to the U.S. has impacted several prediction markets. The “Iran Uranium Enrichment Agreement”...
Snapshot Iran’s
Iran accuses US of killing civilians, raising airspace closure risks
## Market Snapshot Iran’s airspace closure market shows a 22.5% YES probability for closure by May 8, up from 14%...
Iran publishes new map asserting control over Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot Iran’s publication of a new map by the IRGC has impacted markets related to the Strait of...
Iran’s IRGC warns US of narrowing window amid regional tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran’s potential airspace closure market is currently priced at 12.5% YES for a May 8 resolution, down...
Iran proposes peace plan amid US tensions, seeks security assurances
## Market Snapshot Iran’s leadership status market reflects a 33.5% YES pricing for a change by December 31, down from...
Iran conflict escalates, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts oil supply
## Market Snapshot Iran’s enriched uranium surrender market shows a decrease in YES pricing, with the December 31, 2026, odds...
IAEA, Russia, US in talks to extract Iran’s enriched uranium from Isfahan
## Market Snapshot Iran’s Enriched Uranium Surrender market currently prices at 0.1% YES for April 30, 2026, and 32.5% YES...
Iran accuses US of maritime piracy, impacting ceasefire talks
## Market Snapshot Iran’s foreign ministry statement has impacted the US-Iran ceasefire market, now at 0.5% YES, down from 1%...
