US Spot Bitcoin ETFs acquire $532.3M in Bitcoin amid regulatory clarity push
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price on May 4 market is priced at 0.1% YES for being less than $68,000. This...
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US Treasury targets Iranian exchange houses amid rising tensions with Iran
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for Bitcoin being above $66,000 on May 7 is priced at 99.9% YES, unchanged...
US Treasury targets Iranian exchange houses amid rising tensions with Iran
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for Bitcoin being above $66,000 on May 7 is priced at 99.9% YES, unchanged...
US intelligence reports limited new damage to Iran’s nuclear program
## Market Snapshot The “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31” market is priced at 14.5% YES, slightly higher from 14%...
Iranian drone attacks on UAE pressure US bond market, yields surge
## Market Snapshot Ethereum Price on May 5 is priced at 100% YES across all sub-markets, suggesting stability despite geopolitical...
Bitcoin surpasses $80k amid low on-chain activity, up 22% in 5 weeks
## Market Snapshot In the Bitcoin Price on May 4 market, the probability of Bitcoin being less than $68,000 is...
China defies US sanctions, imports Iranian oil amid nuclear deal tensions
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran nuclear deal market is currently priced at 14.5% YES, slightly increased from 14% over the...
Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid soaring fuel costs from Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for Spirit Airlines’ shutdown by May 31 is currently priced at 100% YES. This...
Solana treasury firm launches $200M equity program amid price prediction focus
## Market Snapshot The Solana price prediction market for May 2026 is currently focused on whether Solana will reach $170,...
Nagel warns prolonged conflict may sustain eurozone inflation, complicating ECB policy
## Market Snapshot ECB’s April 2026 interest rate market is priced at 100% YES for a 50+ bps decrease. Current...
IRGC maintains control over Strait of Hormuz, ensuring vessel safety
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market, the YES outcome is currently priced at 26%, down from...
Trump skeptical of Iran’s peace proposal amid nuclear impasse
## Market Snapshot The market for the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting has shown decreased pricing for a YES...
Bitcoin tops $80,000 as Clarity Act nears Senate vote, new Fed chair expected
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin markets are pricing a 99.9% probability that its price will remain above $66,000 on May 7,...
KelpDAO exploit highlights DeFi vulnerability amid $1.2B crypto hack concerns for 2026
## Market Snapshot The market for “Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026?” is currently unresolved, with key factors suggesting...
Strait of Hormuz threat level remains critical amid military activity: UKMTO
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz...
