Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, oil supply disruption impacts Asia
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently priced with uncertainty about hitting the $150 mark....
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Israel deploys Spectro defense systems to UAE amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?” market is currently priced at 12.5% YES, down from...
Spirit Airlines shuts down after failed bailout, liquidation confirmed
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for “Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31” is currently priced at 100% YES, confirming...
Trump administration approves $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for a “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31” is currently priced at 15.5% YES, up...
Iran proposes peace plan to end war, stabilize region within 30 days
## Market Snapshot In the “Fall of the Iranian Regime” market, the current price is 3.0% YES, unchanged from the...
Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid soaring fuel costs
## Market Snapshot The Spirit Airlines shutdown market is currently priced at 100% YES, with the question resolved due to...
US to cut troop presence in Germany, signaling potential de-escalation with Iran
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” is currently assessing a decreased likelihood, with...
Iran rejects US proposal, reduces odds of near-term diplomatic meeting
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting: The market is currently observing decreased odds for an imminent meeting,...
Alphabet’s Q1 earnings boost investor confidence, Google Cloud revenue up 63%
## Market Snapshot The prediction market focusing on Google’s stock price reaching $310 in April is currently priced at 100%...
Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid financial struggles and rising fuel costs
## Market Snapshot The Spirit Airlines shutdown market is currently priced at 100% YES for a shutdown or liquidation by...
US considers further military action against Iran amid missile threat
## Market Snapshot The “Iran Leadership Status by End of 2026” market is currently active with sub-markets showing uncertainty in...
Iran accuses US of piracy over seized oil tankers amid Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market shows 32.5% YES, down from 40% in the last 24 hours. US-Iran...
US fast-tracks arms sales to Middle East allies amid rising Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently priced with concerns about a potential increase, but...
Ukraine seeks clarity from Trump on Russia’s May 9 truce proposal
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9.5% YES, slightly down from...
OPEC+ nations agree to raise oil output quotas by 188,000 BPD for June
## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market is currently priced at 100% YES for crude oil hitting...
