XRP edged up 1.58% to $1.36 on Monday, riding the coattails of a broader market rally without any specific news of its own driving the move. Bitcoin’s 3.15% climb lifted most major tokens, and XRP was no exception, though it lagged slightly behind the pack on a day when Ethereum, Solana and BNB all posted stronger individual gains.
The pattern does not stop there. XRP has also maintained a long-term ascending channel across all three cycles, consistently finding support near the lower band before expanding toward the upper band during bull phases. Currently, price is revisiting that lower structural zone.
Two Scenarios on the Table
If the historical pattern holds, EGRAG Crypto outlines two possible expansion paths. The more conservative scenario mirrors the 2021 cycle, targeting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, which would put XRP somewhere in the $6 to $9 range.
The more aggressive scenario echoes 2017’s parabolic move, with extensions toward the 2.414 to 2.618 Fibonacci levels pointing to a $20 to $25 target. That outcome, the analyst says, would require a broad altcoin liquidity rotation and sustained late-cycle momentum behind it.
The Caveat
XRP has a history of frustrating both bulls and bears, and the macro environment, with oil above $100, geopolitical tensions unresolved and sentiment still in fear territory, is not straightforwardly supportive of a speculative altcoin surge right now.
But the structure, as the analyst puts it, is there. Two cycles. Same support zone. Same channel. The question the chart is quietly asking is whether the third time follows the same script.
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