Polymarket Traders Give Bitcoin 31% Chance of Hitting $80,000 This Month
Key Takeaways:Image source: Polymarket wager on April 19, 2026.Image source: Kalshi market on April 19. Myriad offers a simpler framing:...
Month: April 2026
China’s GDP ratio to US drops amid real estate crisis
China’s GDP ratio to the US has fallen from 78% to 64%, and the real estate crisis is making things...
Iran proposes tolls on Strait of Hormuz amid oil market volatility
Iran’s VP Mohammad Reza Aref has suggested imposing tolls on the Strait of Hormuz, while the Polymarket contract for WTI...
Oil prices surge as Strait of Hormuz remains closed
Oil prices are surging as the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed. WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April is...
Pentagon maintains aggressive stance on Iran, impacting prediction markets
U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth criticized American media during a Pentagon briefing, accusing them of unpatriotic reporting. Trump’s announcement...
Iran criticizes US threats, impacting Hormuz blockade odds
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi criticized US threats against Iranian ports, claiming they show a lack of commitment to diplomacy....
NAB raises credit provisioning amid Middle East conflict, impacting Bitcoin sentiment
National Australia Bank has raised its credit provisioning, pointing to market volatility from the Middle East conflict. This has led...
Vessels attacked in Strait of Hormuz, raising energy supply disruption fears
Vessels came under fire in the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend, pushing odds that 80 ships will transit the...
US Navy seizes Iranian ship in Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions
The US Navy has seized an Iranian ship attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. The market on Strait...
Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz, market doubts WTI hitting $160 in April
Iran’s Speaker of the Parliament referenced “vibe-trading” in digital crude oil markets, citing a Bloomberg Terminal command for Dated Brent...
IRGC forces US troops out of Hormuz Strait after Iranian ship attack
The IRGC forced US troops out of the Strait of Hormuz after attacking an Iranian ship, and the Polymarket contract...
Bitcoin ETFs pull in nearly $1B, Worldcoin tanks 13%: Hodler’s Digest, April 12 – 18
Top Stories of the Week Russia introduces bill to criminalize unregistered crypto services Russia’s government submitted a bill to its...
2024 BTC cycle ‘dramatically’ underperforming previous halvings: Analyst
The current Bitcoin (BTC) market cycle is “dramatically” weaker than the three previous cycles, according to Alex Thorn, the head...
Iran uranium surrender faces unprecedented US challenge by April 2026: WSJ
The Wall Street Journal reports that removing Iran’s enriched uranium would be an unprecedented challenge for the U.S. The Iran...
US-Israel war on Iran disrupts energy, claims thousands of lives
Two months into the US-Israel war on Iran, the conflict has claimed thousands of lives and disrupted global energy flows....
