Brent Crude Climbs Above $115 as Trump Signals Longer Iran Naval Blockade

The average price for a gallon of regular gas has hit $4.229, the highest since Aug. 2, 2022. Fuel costs are heavily influenced by oil prices, which account for more than half of the price at the pump. With refiners now transitioning to pricier summer-blend gasoline, further pressure at the pump is expected heading into peak driving season.

U.S. Equities and Bonds Remain Rattled

U.S. equity markets edged lower on April 29 as the oil rally compounded existing uncertainty. The S&P 500 edged down 0.20%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.27%, and the Nasdaq slipped 0.41%. Hyperscalers Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon, totaling around $11 trillion in market cap, were between 1% and 2% lower ahead of their earnings reports after the bell, set to update their artificial intelligence (AI) capital expenditure.

Visa was over 5% higher after posting strong results for the last quarter, while Booking dropped 4% on its earnings. Defensive stocks held ground despite fresh oil gains. European markets also softened, with the FTSE 100 off 0.73% and the pan-European Stoxx 600 down 0.4%.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield ticked up to 4.39%, reflecting inflation worries tied to rising energy costs. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates steady at its meeting today. Chair Jerome Powell is likely to reiterate that policymakers remain data-dependent, with inflation risks elevated while growth remains stable. This is expected to be Powell’s final meeting before his term concludes in May.

The confluence of Big Tech earnings, a Fed decision, and an oil shock driven by geopolitics has left traders with little margin for error. Markets remain fluid. Any breakthrough in U.S.-Iran talks or an agreement to reopen the strait could quickly reverse the oil rally, as prior ceasefire announcements have shown. Until then, traders are watching energy supply data, Fed signals, and geopolitical dispatches closely.

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