Iran expects further US attacks, dismisses ceasefire sincerity
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market shows 0.1% YES, down from 1% a day ago. Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market...
ceasefire
Zelensky warns of military activity on Belarus border amid ceasefire doubts
## Market Snapshot In the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026” market, YES shares are priced at 9.5%,...
Drone strike on Chornobyl escalates Russo-Ukrainian conflict tensions
## Market Snapshot The “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?” market currently shows a 6% chance of a...
Fighting escalates in Ukraine’s Kostiantynivka, challenging ceasefire hopes
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions for April 30, 2026, currently reflect 0.1% YES pricing, unchanged from 24 hours ago....
US approves $8.6B arms package for Israel, Qatar amid rising tensions
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently prices at 0.1% YES, down from 6% a week ago. The WTI Crude...
Russian attack on Kherson bus kills two, complicates ceasefire prospects
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions for May 31, 2026, are currently priced with a 6.6% chance of a YES...
Trump rejects Iran peace proposal, reinforcing US-Iran diplomatic stalemate
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 1% in the last 24...
China urges continuation of Iran ceasefire amid stalled negotiations
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES pricing, down from 1% 24 hours ago. Despite...
Ukraine repels massive drone swarm amid Russian strikes on critical infrastructure
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions are currently priced at 0.1% YES for April 30 and 6.8% YES for May...
Iran blockade costs $5B in oil revenue as US pressure mounts
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 1% 24 hours ago. The market suggests...
Russia proposes ceasefire as symbolic gesture, Ukraine skeptical
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 11.5% YES, up from 10%...
Iran responds to US deal amendments via Pakistani mediators: Axios
## Market Snapshot The “US-Iran Ceasefire” market currently shows a 0.1% likelihood for a YES outcome, unchanged from the previous...
Iran responds to US amendments amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES probability, down from 1% 24 hours ago and 6%...
Trump admin views Iran ceasefire as War Powers reset, avoiding Congress approval
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently priced at 7.6% YES, with a notable rise from 1% in the past...
Iran accuses US of maritime piracy, impacting ceasefire talks
## Market Snapshot Iran’s foreign ministry statement has impacted the US-Iran ceasefire market, now at 0.5% YES, down from 1%...
