Iran open to talks if US lifts blockade, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely
Iran’s UN ambassador says Tehran is open to talks if the US removes the blockade. Ceasefire by April 30 is...
ceasefire
Iran rejects ceasefire extension, US blames Mojtaba Khamenei
Iran has rejected a ceasefire extension, with the US identifying Mojtaba Khamenei as the primary obstacle. The odds of a...
Trump extends Iran ceasefire indefinitely, naval blockade remains
Trump indefinitely extended the ceasefire with Iran just before its expiration. The ceasefire-by-April-30 market sits at 15% YES, down from...
Iran rejects US talks, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely
Iran has refused further negotiations with the U.S., citing pressure and coercion. The likelihood of a ceasefire by April 30...
Trump cites Iran’s cash crunch amid delayed military salaries
Trump claims Iran is experiencing tight cash liquidity conditions. The ceasefire by April 30 market sits at 14.5% YES, down...
Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifts focus to diplomacy
Trump’s indefinite extension of the US-Iran ceasefire has moved prediction markets sharply. The odds for a formal ceasefire by April...
CIA operatives killed in Mexico amid Iran ceasefire doubts
Two CIA operatives died during a covert operation in Mexican cartel territory. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 30 market sits...
Oil prices dip amid potential US-Iran ceasefire extension
Oil prices dipped as a potential extension of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire muddied market outlooks. The ceasefire-by-April-30 market sits at 16.5%...
Strait of Hormuz blockade escalates US-Iran tensions, disrupts energy supply
The Strait of Hormuz blockade and an intensifying US-Iran standoff are pushing ceasefire odds lower. Ceasefire by April 30 is...
Pakistan’s diplomatic push impacts US-Iran ceasefire odds as deadline nears
Pakistan’s diplomatic push to salvage US-Iran talks has driven down ceasefire odds. The market for Trump announcing the end of...
Trump extends Iran ceasefire, cites fractured Iranian government
Trump has extended the Iran ceasefire, citing a “fractured” Iranian government. The odds of the US announcing an end to...
US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran intensify, Bitcoin drops below $72K
US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran have intensified over six days, with the Iran-US ceasefire set to expire on April...
Trump claims Iran violated ceasefire multiple times
Trump states Iran has breached the ceasefire multiple times. Diplomatic meetings by April 30 are at 16.1% YES. Odds for...
Trump unlikely to extend Iran ceasefire as deadline looms
Trump’s statement on the ceasefire extension has pushed the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire ending by April 21 down to...
Iran prepares for potential conflict as US ceasefire expiration looms
Iran is preparing for potential conflict as the ceasefire with the US approaches its expiration. The market for a ceasefire...
