US bypasses Congress for $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran diplomatic meetings are currently priced at 0.1% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago, but down from...
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China urges continuation of Iran ceasefire amid stalled negotiations
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES pricing, down from 1% 24 hours ago. Despite...
Ukraine repels massive drone swarm amid Russian strikes on critical infrastructure
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions are currently priced at 0.1% YES for April 30 and 6.8% YES for May...
IAEA, Russia, US in talks to extract Iran’s enriched uranium from Isfahan
## Market Snapshot Iran’s Enriched Uranium Surrender market currently prices at 0.1% YES for April 30, 2026, and 32.5% YES...
OKX agent payments protocol launched with Ethereum, Solana backing
## Market Snapshot The “Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?” market is currently priced at 3.7% YES. This...
US stock market gains $6T in April amid easing geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot US GDP Growth Q1 2026 market is currently priced at 100% YES for growth being less than...
Bennett, Lapid form “Together” bloc, challenging Netanyahu ahead of 2026 elections
## Market Snapshot The “Next Israeli Prime Minister” market currently suggests a decrease in the probability of Benjamin Netanyahu retaining...
US senators reach stablecoin yield deal ahead of CLARITY Act markup
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Future Price Predictions are currently priced at 4.5% YES for reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026....
Iran blockade costs $5B in oil revenue as US pressure mounts
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 1% 24 hours ago. The market suggests...
US blockade costs Iran $4.8B in oil revenue, Pentagon reports
## Market Snapshot The “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market is currently priced at 40.5% YES, down from 44% 24 hours...
Venezuela crude exports rise, surpass 1M barrels a day in April
## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market currently shows a 100% YES pricing for oil hitting $90...
Trump asserts Iran operations don’t need congressional approval amid tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently reflects heightened probabilities of military action, influenced by recent statements...
Iran ramps up diplomatic outreach amid US meeting prospects
## Market Snapshot The “next US x Iran diplomatic meeting” market currently shows an increase in the likelihood of a...
Fed holds rates steady amid inflation concerns, Powell highlights Middle East risks
## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cut Timing market is currently pricing a 4.5% YES for a rate cut by June...
Manufacturing ISM report shows price surge, employment drop amid Fed rate cut talk
## Market Snapshot The “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” market currently lacks definitive pricing data. “Will the...
