Russia proposes ceasefire as symbolic gesture, Ukraine skeptical
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 11.5% YES, up from 10%...
currently
Kashkari warns oil shock could lead to Fed rate hikes amid Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot The “Fed Decision June and July” market is currently pricing a 2.9% likelihood of a 25 bps...
US military operations in Iran hit 60-day mark, raising escalation concerns
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the US invade Iran before 2027?” currently shows significant interest with no recent...
Israeli airstrikes on Iran threaten oil supply, prices may hit $150
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently focused on whether prices will hit $150, with...
Iran conflict drives oil to $115, central banks adopt hawkish stance
## Market Snapshot In the Bitcoin price targets market, the $80,000 level is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from...
Iran sends peace proposal to US, WTI crude futures fall
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently showing a lower probability for a YES...
Iran responds to US deal amendments via Pakistani mediators: Axios
## Market Snapshot The “US-Iran Ceasefire” market currently shows a 0.1% likelihood for a YES outcome, unchanged from the previous...
Iran responds to US amendments amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES probability, down from 1% 24 hours ago and 6%...
James Comey indicted for threats against Trump, arrest seen as imminent
## Market Snapshot The “James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026” market is currently observing a significant increase in YES...
Solana leads in quantum security with NIST-approved signatures, ahead of Ethereum
## Market Snapshot Ethereum Future Price Predictions market currently shows a 3.8% likelihood of Ethereum reaching $10,000 by the end...
UAE distrusts Iran over Hormuz, complicates US-Iran peace efforts
## Market Snapshot Next US-Iran Diplomatic Meeting market is currently priced at 40.5% YES, reflecting increased skepticism about a meeting...
Iran accuses US of strikes during talks, military tensions rise
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market currently appears to have decreased YES pricing due to recent...
US-Iran conflict fuels WTI crude oil price hike expectations for May 2026
## Market Snapshot The market for WTI Crude Oil prices in May 2026 currently shows expectations for price increases, driven...
Trump considers pulling US troops from Italy, Spain amid NATO tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Withdrawal from NATO Timeline” market currently prices a 1.4% likelihood of the U.S. withdrawing by...
US considers executive action to reintegrate Anthropic AI by April 2026
## Market Snapshot Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government market is currently priced at 100% YES for April 30, 2026....
