US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
## Market Snapshot Israel airspace closure by May 8 is currently priced at 2% YES, down from 8% in the...
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Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
## Market Snapshot The “Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?” market is currently priced at 32.5% YES, up from 30%...
Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
## Market Snapshot The “US-Iran Nuclear Deal” market is currently priced at 26.5% YES, up from 14% a day ago....
USS George H.W. Bush enforces US naval blockade, redirects 52 vessels in Hormuz
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Ship Transit: Currently priced at 75% YES, down from 78% a day ago. Strait...
Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Price Predictions market is currently priced at 0.7% YES for May 6, a significant...
Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market is currently showing uncertainty, with no significant odds movements. Strait...
France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic by May: Currently priced at 6.2% YES, up from 2% 24 hours ago....
Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
## Market Snapshot The market for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 8.5% YES, down...
Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
## Market Snapshot The market for Solana’s price reaching $170 in May is currently observing a 0% YES pricing. The...
Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
## Market Snapshot Google Stock Price Predictions currently show a 100% YES pricing for Google’s April target of $310. Meanwhile,...
Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
## Market Snapshot Israel’s airspace closure market is currently priced at 1.6% YES for May 8 and 16.5% YES for...
Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
## Market Snapshot In the “Largest Company by Market Cap Predictions” market, NVIDIA is currently priced at 66.1% YES for...
US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition
## Market Snapshot Anthropic Mythos Provision to U.S. Government: Currently priced at 100% YES across all sub-markets for April 30,...
Bitcoin nears $82,000 as oil drops 6% on US-Iran peace talks hopes
## Market Snapshot The market for “Bitcoin Price Above on May 7” currently reflects 99.9% YES, consistent with recent high...
US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
## Market Snapshot The Strait of Hormuz ship transit market currently prices an 83% likelihood of 20 ships transiting on...
