Iran conflict escalates, oil prices expected to hit $90 by June end
## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market is currently priced at 100% YES for crude oil hitting...
currently
Iran warns ships, redirects traffic amid Bab el-Mandeb tensions
## Market Snapshot Bab el-Mandeb Strait Closure market is currently priced at 10.5% YES, down from 11% a day ago....
IDF deploys Iron Drone Raider in Lebanon amid Hezbollah drone threat
## Market Snapshot Israel Withdraws from Lebanon market is currently priced at 9% YES for June 30, 2026, and 3.7%...
Iran’s IRGC warns US of narrowing window amid regional tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran’s potential airspace closure market is currently priced at 12.5% YES for a May 8 resolution, down...
US confirms talks with Iran amid Operation Epic Fury: CNN
## Market Snapshot The market for “Next US-Iran Diplomatic Meeting by June 30, 2026” is currently priced at 33.4% YES,...
Trump rejects Iran’s proposal, US-Iran nuclear deal faces setbacks
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran nuclear deal market is currently priced at 16.5% YES, up from 14% 24 hours ago....
Israel deploys Spectro defense systems to UAE amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?” market is currently priced at 12.5% YES, down from...
Spirit Airlines shuts down after failed bailout, liquidation confirmed
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for “Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31” is currently priced at 100% YES, confirming...
WTI unlikely to hit $150 in May 2026 amid US exports, Hormuz easing
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026: The market currently reflects a scenario where WTI is unlikely...
Trump administration approves $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for a “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31” is currently priced at 15.5% YES, up...
Tehran healthcare collapse amid US-Israel strikes sparks airspace closure fears
## Market Snapshot The “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” market is currently priced at 13.5% YES, down from...
Iran proposes three-stage plan to end hostilities with US
## Market Snapshot The market for “Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting” is currently relevant, with the proposal increasing the...
Israel buys fighter jets as US-Iran tensions rise
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market currently shows little indication of a meeting soon, with no...
Pentagon estimates Iran war cost at $25B, lawmakers contest figures
## Market Snapshot Market: “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” is currently active with no specified YES pricing. The...
Spirit Airlines ceases operations after failed $500M bailout talks
## Market Snapshot Spirit Airlines shutdown market is currently priced at 100% YES, with no observed volume over the last...
