Iran to dismantle US exploitation of Hormuz, says Khamenei
## Market Snapshot Next US-Iran Diplomatic Meeting market currently prices at 39.6% YES for a meeting by June 30, 2026,...
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Somali terror groups escalate piracy in Bab el-Mandeb Strait, raising security risks
## Market Snapshot In the Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure market, the probability of an effective closure by May 31 is...
Iran’s economic turmoil deepens amid naval blockade and military actions
## Market Snapshot Iran Military Action Against Neighbors market currently reflects a 100% YES pricing. The WTI Crude Oil Prices...
Israel ramps up military operations in Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
## Market Snapshot Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 2.4% YES, down from 3%...
US confirms ongoing military operations in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently has no updated odds, while the “US Declaration of War...
Anthropic CEO comments may impact Google’s AI model ranking by May
## Market Snapshot The “best AI model by May” market currently reflects implications of Anthropic’s CEO statements, suggesting a potential...
Ripple CEO confirms no IPO plans despite $13T in payments processed
## Market Snapshot XRP price predictions for May are currently priced at 31% YES for reaching $1.60, showing a slight...
Trump administration declares end to hostilities with Iran, cites ceasefire
## Market Snapshot The market for “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” is currently priced at 17.5% YES, down...
US-Iran conflict fuels inflation, dims Fed rate cut prospects for 2026
## Market Snapshot The market for “Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026” is currently pricing supportive of a YES outcome,...
Trump warns of military action over Iran peace proposal dissatisfaction
## Market Snapshot The Israel-Iran permanent peace deal market is currently priced at 12% YES for June 30, 2026, down...
US sanctions Iranian currency exchanges, impacting oil trade with China
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market currently shows an increase in YES pricing, indicative of...
Labour faces historic losses as Reform UK leads polls ahead of May 2026 elections
## Market Snapshot The “Starmer out by June 30, 2026?” market on Polymarket is currently priced at 39.5% YES, reflecting...
Romanian PM Bolojan likely to exit after government collapse
## Market Snapshot Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? market is currently priced at 99.6% YES, a significant increase...
Pentagon labels Anthropic a supply chain risk amid AI policy shift
## Market Snapshot Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government market is currently priced at 100% YES for all sub-markets. Recent...
Bitcoin Price Today: Analysts Map the Road to $100,000 and Beyond
Bitcoin is currently trading around $80,874, showing steady resilience despite minor short-term fluctuations. Over the past 24 hours, BTC has...
