China defies US sanctions, imports Iranian oil amid rising tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Visit to China market currently prices at 0.1% YES, down from 41% a week ago. WTI...
currently
China defies US sanctions, imports Iranian oil amid nuclear deal tensions
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran nuclear deal market is currently priced at 14.5% YES, slightly increased from 14% over the...
Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid soaring fuel costs from Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for Spirit Airlines’ shutdown by May 31 is currently priced at 100% YES. This...
Israel ready to resume military operations against Iran, awaits US approval
## Market Snapshot The “Fall of the Iranian Regime” market is currently priced at 3.1% YES, a slight increase from...
Russia warns of missile strike on Kyiv if Victory Day disrupted
## Market Snapshot In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions market, the probability of a ceasefire by the end of 2026 is...
Solana treasury firm launches $200M equity program amid price prediction focus
## Market Snapshot The Solana price prediction market for May 2026 is currently focused on whether Solana will reach $170,...
Iran activates Project Freedom as tensions rise in Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?” is currently...
Musk lawsuit adds uncertainty to OpenAI IPO plans before 2027
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for IPOs before 2027 currently shows a decline in the likelihood of OpenAI proceeding...
BitMNR buys $238M in Ethereum amid US-Iran tensions, Tom Lee declares ‘crypto spring’
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price on May 4 market is currently priced at 0.1% YES, consistent over the last 24...
Iran halts nuclear talks with US, dimming deal prospects by May 31
## Market Snapshot The market for a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down...
Iranian missile interceptions in Dubai impact S&P 500 market sentiment
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for the S&P 500’s movement on May 4 currently prices a 0.1% probability of...
US denies Iranian strike on Navy, Trump rejects Iran’s 14-point plan
## Market Snapshot US Invasion of Iran market currently lacks specific odds data, while the US-Iran Nuclear Deal market shows...
IRGC maintains control over Strait of Hormuz, ensuring vessel safety
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market, the YES outcome is currently priced at 26%, down from...
Iran missile campaign continues against UAE amid escalating tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran military action against neighbors market is currently priced at 100% YES, indicating strong market sentiment that...
Iran missile strike heightens Bitcoin volatility amid geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for Bitcoin Price Predictions for May 2026 currently indicates a mixed outlook, with recent geopolitical...
