US approves $8.6B arms package for Israel, Qatar amid rising tensions
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently prices at 0.1% YES, down from 6% a week ago. The WTI Crude...
currently
US pushes Aoun-Netanyahu meeting for Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon
## Market Snapshot The market for “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” is currently priced at 9% YES,...
Iran-backed militias attack US-UK base in Iraq 28 times before ceasefire
## Market Snapshot Iran Military Action market is currently priced at 100% YES for an Iranian strike on Israel by...
Pentagon pushes AI-first strategy, boosting Anthropic Mythos prospects
## Market Snapshot Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government: Currently priced at 100% YES for April 30, 2026. The market...
Bitcoin forecasted to drop to $59,000 amid geopolitical tensions: Kalshi
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price Predictions for April 30 are currently priced at 0.1% YES for reaching $79,000, reflecting a...
Russian attack on Kherson bus kills two, complicates ceasefire prospects
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions for May 31, 2026, are currently priced with a 6.6% chance of a YES...
Trump rejects Iran peace proposal, reinforcing US-Iran diplomatic stalemate
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 1% in the last 24...
Trump announces US troop withdrawal from Germany amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market is currently indicating 0% YES. The “US Declaration of War on...
Bitcoin DATs Capitulate—Could This Rare Signal Mark A Bottom?
Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021. Keshav...
US bypasses Congress for $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran diplomatic meetings are currently priced at 0.1% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago, but down from...
China urges continuation of Iran ceasefire amid stalled negotiations
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES pricing, down from 1% 24 hours ago. Despite...
Ukraine repels massive drone swarm amid Russian strikes on critical infrastructure
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions are currently priced at 0.1% YES for April 30 and 6.8% YES for May...
IAEA, Russia, US in talks to extract Iran’s enriched uranium from Isfahan
## Market Snapshot Iran’s Enriched Uranium Surrender market currently prices at 0.1% YES for April 30, 2026, and 32.5% YES...
OKX agent payments protocol launched with Ethereum, Solana backing
## Market Snapshot The “Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?” market is currently priced at 3.7% YES. This...
US stock market gains $6T in April amid easing geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot US GDP Growth Q1 2026 market is currently priced at 100% YES for growth being less than...
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