Spirit Airlines shuts down after failed bailout, liquidation confirmed
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for “Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31” is currently priced at 100% YES, confirming...
currently
WTI unlikely to hit $150 in May 2026 amid US exports, Hormuz easing
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026: The market currently reflects a scenario where WTI is unlikely...
Trump administration approves $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for a “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31” is currently priced at 15.5% YES, up...
Tehran healthcare collapse amid US-Israel strikes sparks airspace closure fears
## Market Snapshot The “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” market is currently priced at 13.5% YES, down from...
Iran proposes three-stage plan to end hostilities with US
## Market Snapshot The market for “Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting” is currently relevant, with the proposal increasing the...
Israel buys fighter jets as US-Iran tensions rise
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market currently shows little indication of a meeting soon, with no...
Pentagon estimates Iran war cost at $25B, lawmakers contest figures
## Market Snapshot Market: “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” is currently active with no specified YES pricing. The...
Spirit Airlines ceases operations after failed $500M bailout talks
## Market Snapshot Spirit Airlines shutdown market is currently priced at 100% YES, with no observed volume over the last...
Michael Saylor plans major Bitcoin purchase amid market optimism
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price Predictions for May 2026 market currently shows a neutral stance with no specific pricing for...
Iran issues one-month ultimatum to end US-Israeli conflict and blockade
## Market Snapshot The market “WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026” currently reflects uncertainty around the potential for oil...
Trump considers Iran peace proposal as Hormuz traffic halts
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” currently shows uncertainty with no active odds....
Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid soaring fuel costs
## Market Snapshot The Spirit Airlines shutdown market is currently priced at 100% YES, with the question resolved due to...
Q1 2026 US GDP growth confirmed, contradicting market predictions
## Market Snapshot The market for US GDP growth in Q1 2026 being less than 1.0% is currently priced at...
Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon escalate tensions with Iran
## Market Snapshot The market for “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?” is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down...
US Defense partners with tech giants for AI-first military initiative
## Market Snapshot The “Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government” market currently shows 100% YES across all active sub-markets, with...
