Strategy raises $82M for Bitcoin purchase amid geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot MicroStrategy Bitcoin Purchase Announcement market is priced at 0.2% YES, down from 10% a day ago. Bitcoin...
Down
Strategy pauses Bitcoin purchase, plans to resume next week
## Market Snapshot MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin purchase market is currently priced at 0.2% YES, down from 10% just 24 hours ago....
NATO deterrence bolstered as German minister affirms strong defense posture
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire market is currently priced at 9.5% for a YES outcome, slightly down from...
Hezbollah rejects direct talks with Israel, impacting Lebanon withdrawal outlook
## Market Snapshot Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10%...
UKMTO advises mariners to use Oman waters amid Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran Shipping Agreement is currently priced at 11% YES, down from 16% in the last 24 hours....
Naftali Bennett announces candidacy for Israeli Prime Minister in 2026 election
## Market Snapshot In the “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?” market, YES pricing is at 4.5% for June 30,...
Trump signals continued Hormuz blockade as strategic measure
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 36% YES, down from 40% a day ago...
Medvedev warns of nuclear apocalypse amid Russia-NATO tensions
## Market Snapshot Russia-NATO invasion market: Priced at 2.4% YES, down from 3% a day ago. Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market: Active...
Iran warns ships, redirects traffic amid Bab el-Mandeb tensions
## Market Snapshot Bab el-Mandeb Strait Closure market is currently priced at 10.5% YES, down from 11% a day ago....
Israel-Iran energy conflict escalates, potential Iran airspace closure looms
## Market Snapshot Iran Airspace Closure market shows a current price of 16.5% YES for May 8, down from 24%...
Ukraine drone attack on Russian tankers escalates tensions, dims ceasefire hopes
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026: currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10% 24...
Trump doubts Iran peace proposal amid ongoing diplomatic challenges
## Market Snapshot US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down from 16% 24 hours...
Jerome Powell to step down as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, remain as governor
## Market Snapshot Jerome Powell is set to step down as Federal Reserve Chair by May 15, 2026, with markets...
Trump hints at renewed strikes on Iran amid nuclear deal uncertainty
## Market Snapshot US-Iran nuclear deal market is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down from 16% 24 hours ago. The...
Iran accuses US of piracy over seized oil tankers amid Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market shows 32.5% YES, down from 40% in the last 24 hours. US-Iran...
