China defies US sanctions, imports Iranian oil amid rising tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Visit to China market currently prices at 0.1% YES, down from 41% a week ago. WTI...
Down
Iran conflict reignites, boosting oil prices and hitting equity markets
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price market for May 7 shows a 99.8% YES pricing, slightly down from 100% one day...
Bitcoin Price Expansion To $97,000 Is Only Being Blocked By One Pesky Retest
The Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: TradingViewBTC bears push down price | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image created with Dall.E,...
Iran halts nuclear talks with US, dimming deal prospects by May 31
## Market Snapshot The market for a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down...
Strategy raises $82M for Bitcoin purchase amid geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot MicroStrategy Bitcoin Purchase Announcement market is priced at 0.2% YES, down from 10% a day ago. Bitcoin...
Strategy pauses Bitcoin purchase, plans to resume next week
## Market Snapshot MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin purchase market is currently priced at 0.2% YES, down from 10% just 24 hours ago....
NATO deterrence bolstered as German minister affirms strong defense posture
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire market is currently priced at 9.5% for a YES outcome, slightly down from...
Hezbollah rejects direct talks with Israel, impacting Lebanon withdrawal outlook
## Market Snapshot Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10%...
UKMTO advises mariners to use Oman waters amid Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran Shipping Agreement is currently priced at 11% YES, down from 16% in the last 24 hours....
Naftali Bennett announces candidacy for Israeli Prime Minister in 2026 election
## Market Snapshot In the “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?” market, YES pricing is at 4.5% for June 30,...
Trump signals continued Hormuz blockade as strategic measure
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 36% YES, down from 40% a day ago...
Medvedev warns of nuclear apocalypse amid Russia-NATO tensions
## Market Snapshot Russia-NATO invasion market: Priced at 2.4% YES, down from 3% a day ago. Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market: Active...
Iran warns ships, redirects traffic amid Bab el-Mandeb tensions
## Market Snapshot Bab el-Mandeb Strait Closure market is currently priced at 10.5% YES, down from 11% a day ago....
Israel-Iran energy conflict escalates, potential Iran airspace closure looms
## Market Snapshot Iran Airspace Closure market shows a current price of 16.5% YES for May 8, down from 24%...
Ukraine drone attack on Russian tankers escalates tensions, dims ceasefire hopes
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026: currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10% 24...
