Iran vows to protect missile, nuclear tech amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran Airspace Closure: Currently priced at 14% YES for a closure by May 8, down from 24%...
Down
Bitcoin struggles below $78K resistance amid ETF outflows
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s market predicting it will not reach $80,000 in April is priced at 0.1% YES, down from...
Iran expects further US attacks, dismisses ceasefire sincerity
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market shows 0.1% YES, down from 1% a day ago. Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market...
Pirates hijack oil tanker off Yemen, raising Bab el-Mandeb Strait concerns
## Market Snapshot Bab el-Mandeb Strait Closure market currently shows 11% YES for May 31, down from 14% 24 hours...
Trump calls for war with Iran to stop nuclear threat
## Market Snapshot The market for a US declaration of war on Iran by December 31, 2026, is currently priced...
Trump calls US Navy actions “piracy” amid Hormuz blockade tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 39.5% YES, down from 44% in the last...
Iran’s internet blackout enters tenth week amid ongoing conflict
## Market Snapshot The Iranian regime fall market for June 30 is currently priced at 6.5% YES, down from 8%...
US approves $8.6B arms package for Israel, Qatar amid rising tensions
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently prices at 0.1% YES, down from 6% a week ago. The WTI Crude...
Trump rejects Iran peace proposal, reinforcing US-Iran diplomatic stalemate
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 1% in the last 24...
Iran declares Hormuz non-negotiable amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is priced at 40.5% YES, down from 44% 24 hours ago. The...
China urges continuation of Iran ceasefire amid stalled negotiations
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES pricing, down from 1% 24 hours ago. Despite...
Iran blockade costs $5B in oil revenue as US pressure mounts
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 1% 24 hours ago. The market suggests...
Trump declares end of Iran conflict, uranium deal remains uncertain
## Market Snapshot US obtains Iranian enriched uranium market is priced at 8.5% YES for May 31, down from 10%...
IRGC asserts Supreme Leader to set new Persian Gulf rules amid power shift
## Market Snapshot Iran Leadership Change market shows a 35.5% YES probability by December 31, down from 40% 24 hours...
Iran responds to US amendments amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES probability, down from 1% 24 hours ago and 6%...
