Trump announces US troop withdrawal from Germany amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market is currently indicating 0% YES. The “US Declaration of War on...
Iran
US bypasses Congress for $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran diplomatic meetings are currently priced at 0.1% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago, but down from...
USS Gerald R. Ford departs Middle East, signals partial US military de-escalation
## Market Snapshot Market: Military Actions Against Iran Current Pricing: 0.1% YES Trend: The market has remained flat at 0.1%...
CNN report: Iranian strikes damage US bases, escalating tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Forces Enter Iran” market reflects a heightened potential for military action, with a 15% increase...
US troop withdrawal from Germany signals potential de-escalation with Iran
## Market Snapshot Market: Military Actions Against Iran Current Pricing: 0.1% YES Trend: Stable, with no significant change in the...
Trump declares end to Iran military operations as war powers deadline hits
## Market Snapshot In the Polymarket event “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th”, pricing reflects...
Bitcoin Slips Below Key Holder Cost Basis Ahead Of $1.74B Options Expiry
Bitcoin is trading below a key cost threshold that short-term holders paid to acquire it — a sign that many...
US Warns Hormuz Digital Asset Payments May Trigger Sanctions Risk
Key Takeaways: OFAC warned crypto payments tied to Hormuz transit may trigger sanctions exposure. Reports say Iran operates a crypto-based...
Trump Says Iran Conflict Over, Nasdaq Sets Record High, Bitcoin Climbs 2.5%
Key Takeaways:Nasdaq Composite on May 1, 2026.Traders Push Bitcoin Near $79,000 Resistance, Wiping $120M in Bearish PositionsTraders Push Bitcoin Near...
Hezbollah refuses to disarm, impacting Israeli withdrawal outlook
## Market Snapshot Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026: 9.5% YES (24h ago: 10%). Iran Military Action by...
Iran conflict spikes fuel prices, halts Strait of Hormuz shipping
## Market Snapshot The “Military Actions Against Iran” market, focusing on potential UK strikes, remains at 0.1% YES, unchanged from...
Trump confirms end of Iran military operations with April 7 ceasefire
## Market Snapshot The market “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th” is currently priced at...
Trump asserts Iran operations don’t need congressional approval amid tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently reflects heightened probabilities of military action, influenced by recent statements...
Iran ramps up diplomatic outreach amid US meeting prospects
## Market Snapshot The “next US x Iran diplomatic meeting” market currently shows an increase in the likelihood of a...
US military operations in Iran hit 60-day mark, raising escalation concerns
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the US invade Iran before 2027?” currently shows significant interest with no recent...
