Russia intercepts 270 Ukrainian drones amid ongoing conflict
## Market Snapshot In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions market, the likelihood of a ceasefire by May 31, 2026, is currently...
likelihood
Trump warns of potential US strikes on Iran if they “misbehave”
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently indicates increased likelihood of military action, with a shift in...
Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps Hormuz blockade amid tensions
## Market Snapshot The “next US x Iran diplomatic meeting” market is currently evaluating the likelihood of a meeting on...
Iran accuses US of NPT non-compliance, heightening diplomatic tensions
## Market Snapshot The market addressing the likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, currently prices at...
Israeli drone strike in Lebanon raises WTI oil price concerns for May 2026
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently evaluating the likelihood of prices reaching $150....
UAE exits OPEC amid Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts oil prices
## Market Snapshot The market for crude oil price predictions by June indicates a 100% likelihood of hitting $90. Recent...
Kashkari warns oil shock could lead to Fed rate hikes amid Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot The “Fed Decision June and July” market is currently pricing a 2.9% likelihood of a 25 bps...
Iran responds to US deal amendments via Pakistani mediators: Axios
## Market Snapshot The “US-Iran Ceasefire” market currently shows a 0.1% likelihood for a YES outcome, unchanged from the previous...
Solana leads in quantum security with NIST-approved signatures, ahead of Ethereum
## Market Snapshot Ethereum Future Price Predictions market currently shows a 3.8% likelihood of Ethereum reaching $10,000 by the end...
US inflation jumps in March amid Iran war, Trump tariffs impact
## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 prices suggest a low likelihood of rate cuts, with no current...
Google and Microsoft report strong Q1 AI-driven earnings growth
## Market Snapshot The “Best AI Model by May” market reflects an increased likelihood for Google, with current odds indicating...
Hormuz shipping traffic trickles as US-Iran tensions escalate
Hormuz shipping traffic continues at a trickle as US-Iran tensions deepen, with the likelihood of traffic returning to normal by...
Fed signals elevated inflation, no rate cuts expected in 2026 amid energy price rise
The Fed now describes inflation as “elevated” due to rising energy prices, and the likelihood of a 25 bps rate...
Iran’s rial hits record low as US naval blockade tightens economic grip
Iran’s rial fell to a record low as the US naval blockade squeezes its economy. The likelihood of the Iranian...
US reviews Iran proposal as Israel-Iran peace talks stall
The likelihood of an Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by April 30 has dropped to 0.7% YES, down from 3% just...
