US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
## Market Snapshot The Strait of Hormuz ship transit market currently prices an 83% likelihood of 20 ships transiting on...
likelihood
Russian strikes escalate, dimming 2026 Ukraine ceasefire hopes
## Market Snapshot The “Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions” market is observing a decrease in the likelihood of a ceasefire by the...
US shifts to clear crypto regulations, boosting Bitcoin investor confidence
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price predictions for December 31, 2026, show a 4.5% YES likelihood of reaching $200,000, unchanged from...
US destroyers cross Strait of Hormuz under Iranian fire, escalating tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market reflects a heightened likelihood of escalation, with pricing suggesting increased probabilities...
Iran tensions rise as hackers leak US Navy officer data in Persian Gulf
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization is priced at lower likelihood for YES outcomes, with significant decline in...
Iran tensions rise as hackers leak US Navy officer data in Persian Gulf
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization is priced at lower likelihood for YES outcomes, with significant decline in...
Iran attacks ships, UAE energy sites amid US naval operation in Hormuz
## Market Snapshot In the “US Invasion of Iran” market, pricing currently reflects a 33% YES likelihood. The “Trump’s Hormuz...
Iran declares unauthorized Hormuz vessels as legitimate targets amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market, the likelihood of a blockade lift by May 31 is...
Trump’s ‘Project Freedom’ boosts oil prices amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil market is currently evaluating the likelihood of prices reaching $150 in May. Recent developments...
Barclays predicts no Fed rate cuts until 2027 amid inflation, oil price concerns
## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 are currently at 45% YES, indicating a decrease in likelihood. The...
Fed’s Kashkari warns Iran conflict complicates rate policy, hints at possible hike
## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 are currently assessing the likelihood of no rate cuts, with market...
Russia intercepts 270 Ukrainian drones amid ongoing conflict
## Market Snapshot In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions market, the likelihood of a ceasefire by May 31, 2026, is currently...
Trump warns of potential US strikes on Iran if they “misbehave”
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently indicates increased likelihood of military action, with a shift in...
Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps Hormuz blockade amid tensions
## Market Snapshot The “next US x Iran diplomatic meeting” market is currently evaluating the likelihood of a meeting on...
Iran accuses US of NPT non-compliance, heightening diplomatic tensions
## Market Snapshot The market addressing the likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, currently prices at...
