Traders skeptical of US-Iran ceasefire as April 7 odds drop to 1%
The Pentagon reports advances against Iran, but Iran remains defiant. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 have plummeted to...
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Odds of US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 drop to 1% amid escalating tensions
Iran’s warning of potential escalation has driven the odds of a ceasefire by April 7 down to 1% YES. This...
Iran warns of regional chaos for US if tensions escalate, ceasefire odds drop
Iran has issued a warning to the U.S., threatening regional chaos if tensions continue. The odds of a ceasefire by...
Iran rejects temporary ceasefire, demands permanent war resolution guarantees
Iran has rejected a temporary ceasefire, demanding guarantees for a permanent end to the war. The odds of a ceasefire...
Iran rejects temporary ceasefire, demands permanent guarantees instead
Iran has rejected a temporary ceasefire proposal, demanding permanent guarantees instead. The odds for a ceasefire by April 7 are...
Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid escalating US-Iran tensions and military strikes: FT
Iran’s call for a permanent ceasefire clashes with rising conflict. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 have dropped to...
Bitcoin ETFs see $69.6M inflows in April 2026, but $100K target remains at 0% YES
Bitcoin ETFs see $69.59 million inflows in April 2026, but odds of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 by June 30 remain at...
EU tariffs on US goods by September 30 loom as Trump escalates trade tensions
Trump’s reputation as a dealmaker challenging major powers stirs trade tensions. The odds of the EU imposing retaliatory tariffs on...
Odds of Iranian regime change by June 30 drop to 13.5% from 20% a week ago
A former CIA operative claims regime change in Iran is tougher than the US perceives. The odds of the Iranian...
Explosions in Tehran raise odds of regime change to 14% by June 30
Multiple explosions rocked Tehran today, according to Iranian media. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 now...
Trump continues talks despite Iran downing two US jets; ceasefire odds drop to 1.1%
Trump continues negotiations despite Iran shooting down two US jets. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 are...
Iran rejects US demands, ceasefire odds drop to 1.1% by April 7
Iran has rejected U.S. demands and refused to meet with American officials in Islamabad. The odds of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire...
Iran downs two US warplanes, reducing April 7 ceasefire odds to 1%
Iran reportedly downed two US warplanes, sharply reducing the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 to 1% YES,...
Iran rejects US proposal for 48-hour ceasefire, odds of resolution plummet
Iran has rejected a U.S. proposal for a 48-hour ceasefire amid ongoing conflict. The odds of a ceasefire by April...
Iran rejects US ceasefire proposal, odds drop to 1% for April 7 resolution
Iran has rejected a US ceasefire proposal, dropping the odds of a ceasefire by April 7 to 1% YES, down...
