Bitcoin spot ETFs see $159M outflow, XRP ETFs gain $3.3M
Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a $159 million outflow on April 7, but odds of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by year-end on...
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Trump’s Iran uranium statement boosts ceasefire prospects
Trump’s statement on managing Iran’s uranium as part of the ceasefire deal has pushed odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by...
Trump declares US-Iran ceasefire after Pakistani proposal, market odds surge
Trump declared a ceasefire between the US and Iran, following a Pakistani proposal. The odds of a ceasefire by April...
Oil prices surge past $112 as Iran regime change odds fluctuate
Trump indicated potential escalation against Iran starting April 7. Odds for the Iranian regime to fall by June 30 are...
US-Iran deal talks lower oil prices, impact prediction markets
News of the US and Iran nearing a deal has caused oil prices to fall. The odds of the Iranian...
Iran considers two-week ceasefire as April 15 odds climb
Iran is considering a two-week ceasefire proposed by Pakistan. The odds of a ceasefire by April 15 have risen to...
Iran strengthens position in US-Israeli conflict as military escalation looms
Iran’s strengthened position in the US-Israeli conflict has led to the rejection of US peace proposals. Ceasefire odds by April...
US-Iran ceasefire odds drop to 1.1% as military plans escalate tensions
The U.S. and Israel’s joint plans to target Iran’s nuclear facilities have slashed the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by...
US and Israeli officials seek to weaken Iran’s enrichment amid ceasefire uncertainty
U.S. and Israeli officials aim to weaken Iran’s uranium enrichment before ending hostilities. The odds of a ceasefire by April...
Iran’s regime collapse odds rise to 13.5% as superpower tensions escalate: FT
Iran is now a focal point for superpower tensions, similar to Ukraine and Taiwan. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Iran regime collapse odds rise to 13.5% as geopolitical tensions escalate: FT
Iran has become a focal point for superpower tensions, similar to Ukraine and Taiwan. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Iran War Pushes Europe and Japan Recession Risk to 50%, BCA Research Says
Key Takeaways: BCA Research puts U.S. recession odds at 40%, warning that sustained 10% oil supply cuts could push crude...
Odds of US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 drop to 1.1% amid ongoing military actions
Iran’s threat of retaliation and ongoing strikes on Gulf infrastructure have slashed the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April...
Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86% amid military tensions
Speculation about a potential ground invasion of Iran has pushed the odds of US forces entering the country by April...
Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 surge to 86% after F-15E downing
A U.S. F-15E was downed, prompting a rescue operation near Isfahan. Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30...
