IDF strikes Hezbollah targets, impacting Israel withdrawal market sentiment
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market, odds are currently at 6% YES,...
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US confirms ongoing military operations in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently has no updated odds, while the “US Declaration of War...
Middle East tensions drive WTI crude oil prices higher, impacting Fed rate cut odds
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market suggests an increase in odds for reaching $150 per...
US denies Iranian strike on Navy, Trump rejects Iran’s 14-point plan
## Market Snapshot US Invasion of Iran market currently lacks specific odds data, while the US-Iran Nuclear Deal market shows...
Iran maintains operational constraints on Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for WTI Crude Oil prices in May 2026 shows uncertainty, with odds unreported for the...
Netanyahu plea deal talks begin amid corruption trial, potential 2026 exit
## Market Snapshot In the “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?” market, the current odds for a YES outcome are...
Anthropic’s AI actions may impact Google’s top model odds by May
## Market Snapshot Best AI Model by May market reflects uncertainty, with Google’s odds under pressure. Anthropic Mythos Provision to...
Nvidia may surpass Apple as largest company by market cap, odds suggest
## Market Snapshot Largest Company by Market Cap Predictions: Odds for NVIDIA being the largest by June 30 are priced...
Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps naval blockade amid nuclear deal stalemate
Trump dismissed Iran’s proposal and kept the naval blockade intact. The odds of Trump announcing the blockade’s end by May...
Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, tensions rise with US strategy mockery
Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz and public derision of U.S. strategy have pushed odds sharply lower on a...
US-Iran talks stall, Hormuz blockade resolution unlikely by May 31
Talks between the US and Iran have stalled, pushing the Polymarket odds for the US lifting the Strait of Hormuz...
Trump discusses new Iran proposal with national security aides
Trump met with national security aides to discuss a new Iran proposal. The odds of a U.S. invasion of Iran...
Iran security council unifies on war decisions, reinforcing regime stability
Iran’s security council has unified on war decisions, according to a government minister. The odds for an Iranian leadership change...
IDF drone strike kills Hezbollah member in southern Lebanon amid rising tensions
An IDF drone killed a Hezbollah member in southern Lebanon, and the odds of Israel withdrawing from Lebanon by April...
Bitcoin transaction volume surpasses Visa, Mastercard in 2025
Bitcoin’s transaction volume outpaced Visa and Mastercard in 2025. The odds of Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026, are...
