White House rejects press negotiations with Iran, blocking near-term talks
The White House rejected press-based negotiations with Iran, pushing the odds of a diplomatic meeting by April 30 down to...
odds
Nvidia market cap surpasses Alphabet by $1T amid strong AI hardware demand
NVIDIA’s market cap reached $4.9 trillion, outpacing Alphabet by $1 trillion. The odds of NVIDIA being the largest company by...
Trump discusses new Iran proposal with security aides, impacting diplomatic odds
Trump’s discussion of a new Iran proposal with national security aides has moved the odds of no qualifying US-Iran meeting...
MegaETH token to launch April 30 with $1.6B valuation
MegaETH is set to launch its token on April 30 at a $1.6 billion fully diluted valuation (FDV). Polymarket odds...
Mojtaba Khamenei named Iran’s Supreme Leader, stabilizing regime outlook
Mojtaba Khamenei’s appointment as Iran’s Supreme Leader has pushed down the odds of a regime fall by May 31, with...
China-backed ceasefire stabilizes Iran amid regime change speculation
The odds for an Iranian regime fall by June 30 sit at 8.5%, slightly up from 8% yesterday, as Washington...
Trump’s demand for US control of Iran’s nuclear material stalls deal prospects
Trump’s push for US control of Iran’s nuclear material has collapsed market odds. The US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30...
US-Israeli strikes, blockade strain Iran’s economy amid regime change speculation
US-Israeli strikes and a US naval blockade are putting heavy pressure on Iran’s economy. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Iran war strains Gulf economies, complicates US-Iran diplomacy
The ongoing Iran war is straining Gulf economies and complicating diplomacy. Odds of no US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30...
600 ships stranded in Strait of Hormuz, disrupting regional trade
Over 600 commercial ships remain stranded in the Strait of Hormuz, pushing the odds of traffic normalization by May 15...
Trump escalates Iran strategy with naval blockade, frozen crypto assets
Trump’s latest strategy includes a naval blockade and frozen crypto assets. The odds of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by...
Trump cancels envoy trip to Pakistan, impacting US-Iran peace prospects
President Trump has canceled a trip by US envoys to Pakistan, and the odds of a US-Iran permanent peace deal...
US delegation arrives in Islamabad for ceasefire talks with Iran
An American delegation has arrived in Islamabad for ceasefire talks with Iran, pushing the odds of no US-Iran diplomatic meeting...
MegaETH token generation event set for month-end amid market anticipation
MegaETH’s token generation event (TGE) is set for the end of the month, pushing the odds of a token launch...
Senate gridlock on CLARITY Act dims XRP’s April $2.6 prospects
Galaxy reports that the odds of the CLARITY Act passing the Senate are about 50% and dropping, with bearish implications...
