Iran warns UAE over US-Israel ties, peace deal odds drop
## Market Snapshot Israel-Iran permanent peace deal markets show a decrease in YES pricing, with the June 30, 2026 contract...
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Israel vows more destruction in Lebanon amid ongoing military operations
## Market Snapshot The market for “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026” is currently priced at...
Trump warns of military action over Iran peace proposal dissatisfaction
## Market Snapshot The Israel-Iran permanent peace deal market is currently priced at 12% YES for June 30, 2026, down...
Iran extends Strait of Hormuz blockade amid US-Iran peace deal uncertainty
## Market Snapshot US-Iran permanent peace deal market shows a current 18.5% YES pricing for a deal by May 31,...
US reviews Iran proposal as Israel-Iran peace talks stall
The likelihood of an Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by April 30 has dropped to 0.7% YES, down from 3% just...
US-Iran peace deal odds plummet as diplomatic progress stalls
The US-Iran “no peace, no war” stalemate shows no signs of breaking. The permanent peace deal by April 30 market...
US-Iran peace deal odds plummet as diplomatic progress stalls
The US-Iran “no peace, no war” stalemate shows no signs of breaking. The permanent peace deal by April 30 market...
Trump halts US-Iran peace talks, April 30 deal market plummets
Trump pulled the plug on US-Iran peace talks, and the April 30 permanent peace deal market dropped to 3.8% YES,...
Trump cancels envoy trip to Pakistan, impacting US-Iran peace prospects
President Trump has canceled a trip by US envoys to Pakistan, and the odds of a US-Iran permanent peace deal...
Israel seeks US approval to resume military action against Iran
Israel is seeking US consent to restart military operations against Iran, pushing the permanent peace deal by April 30 market...
Senator Murphy praises Iranian ships as US-Iran peace deal odds decline
Senator Chris Murphy praised Iranian ships for evading a US blockade, and the odds of a permanent US-Iran peace deal...
Iran condemns Israeli actions in Somalia amid peace deal skepticism
Iran condemned Israeli actions in Somalia, and the Polymarket contract for a permanent Israel-Iran peace deal by April 30, 2026,...
Iran absent from Pakistan peace talks, dims April 22 US-Iran deal prospects
Iran’s absence from the latest peace talks in Pakistan has pushed the US-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 22...
Democrats fail to block Trump’s Iran actions, peace deal by April 22 uncertain
Democrats failed to block Trump’s military actions in Iran, and the US-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 22 now...
Traders see US-Iran conflict resolution, oil prices hit $90 amid disruptions
Traders are pricing in a growing likelihood of US-Iran conflict resolution, with the odds of a permanent peace deal by...
