Trump considers Iran peace proposal, impacting crude oil market
Trump is considering an Iran peace proposal, and the Polymarket crude oil all-time high contract has dropped sharply. The likelihood...
Polymarket
Nvidia hits $5.2T market cap, poised to be largest by April 30
NVIDIA’s market cap has reached $5.2 trillion, and the Polymarket contract for NVIDIA being the largest company by market cap...
Iran protests, economic woes fuel speculation on regime stability
The Polymarket contract on whether the Iranian regime will fall by June 30 has risen to 7.5%, up from 6%...
Shell’s $14B Canadian shale deal marks largest acquisition in a decade
Shell’s $14 billion acquisition of a Canadian shale company is its largest deal in a decade. On Polymarket, crude oil...
MegaETH token to launch April 30 with $1.6B valuation
MegaETH is set to launch its token on April 30 at a $1.6 billion fully diluted valuation (FDV). Polymarket odds...
Drone incursion from Lebanon triggers sirens in northern Israel
Sirens sounded in northern Israel following a drone incursion from Lebanon. On Polymarket, the contract for Israel announcing a suspension...
China expands economic pressure on US amid Iran conflict
China is expanding economic pressure tactics against the US as the Iran conflict continues, and Polymarket odds on Trump visiting...
Polymarket Study Finds 3.14% Drive Accuracy
Key Takeaways: Researchers from London Business School and Yale found only 3.14% of Polymarket accounts qualify as skilled, yet generate...
Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates at 3.75% as Traders Price 99% Odds for April 29 FOMC
Key Takeaways:Source: CME Fedwatch tool on April 26, 2026.Source: Polymarket on April 26, 2026.Source: Kalshi on April 26, 2026. Both...
Strategy boosts Bitcoin holdings to 815,061 BTC, valued at $63.4B
MicroStrategy has increased its Bitcoin holdings to 815,061 BTC, valued at $63.46 billion, while the Polymarket contract for Bitcoin reaching...
Trump imposes oil blockade on Cuba amid US-Iran tensions
The Trump administration has implemented an oil blockade against Cuba. The Polymarket contract on crude oil hitting an all-time high...
Iran tensions and oil supply issues fail to boost WTI crude price outlook
U.S.-Iran hostilities and oil supply disruptions continue, but the Polymarket contract for WTI crude hitting an all-time high by April...
Nvidia poised to become largest company by market cap amid AI stock surge
AI infrastructure stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 by 115% since December, and the Polymarket contract on NVIDIA being the...
Israel’s right-wing figures consider new party to challenge Netanyahu
Talks of a new right-wing party alternative to Likud are underway, and the Polymarket contract on Netanyahu’s departure by June...
CFTC Charges Polymarket Trader in First Event Contract Insider Trading Case
Key Takeaways: First CFTC action targets insider trading in event contracts. Insider trading charges show Army member used classified data...
