Hezbollah escalates conflict with Israel using fibre-optic drones in Lebanon
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down...
Prediction Markets
Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps Hormuz blockade amid tensions
## Market Snapshot The “next US x Iran diplomatic meeting” market is currently evaluating the likelihood of a meeting on...
Trump fast-tracks $8.6B arms deal to Middle East amid Iran tensions: FT
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently priced at uncertain YES. The US-Iran nuclear...
Iran vows to protect missile, nuclear tech amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran Airspace Closure: Currently priced at 14% YES for a closure by May 8, down from 24%...
Bank of England holds rates, signals future hikes amid Iran war
## Market Snapshot The ECB interest rates market for April 2026 currently shows a 100% probability of maintaining the status...
Bank of Botswana hikes rates amid global inflation pressures
## Market Snapshot The Bank of Brazil decision market for April 2026 is currently priced at 100% YES for an...
Pharos Network FDV may exceed $50M post-$PROS launch on Aerodrome
## Market Snapshot Pharos Network FDV Predictions market is currently observing increased interest, with a focus on whether Pharos Network’s...
US fast-tracks arms sales to Middle East allies amid rising Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently priced with concerns about a potential increase, but...
Polymarket April Fees Hit $43.36M as On-Chain Prediction Markets Surge
TLDR: Table of Contents Polymarket April fees hit $43.36M, driven by higher trading activity across global prediction markets Polymarket Global...
Iran accuses US of NPT non-compliance, heightening diplomatic tensions
## Market Snapshot The market addressing the likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, currently prices at...
US fast-tracks $8.6B arms deals amid Iran tensions, impacting oil markets
## Market Snapshot The market for WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 currently shows uncertainty, with the potential for...
MegaETH market cap falls short of $1B prediction post-launch
## Market Snapshot MegaETH’s market cap is currently between $173–207 million, significantly below the pre-launch prediction of over $1 billion....
Ukraine seeks clarity from Trump on Russia’s May 9 truce proposal
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9.5% YES, slightly down from...
North Korean hackers behind record $635M crypto theft in April 2026
## Market Snapshot The market concerning “Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government” reflects a 100% YES pricing across all sub-markets,...
US redirects 48 vessels to enforce Hormuz blockade amid ongoing operation
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz...
