US maintains legal blockade of Strait of Hormuz, reducing war declaration likelihood
## Market Snapshot The market for Trump announcing the lifting of the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by...
Prediction Markets
Iran proposes peace plan to end war, stabilize region within 30 days
## Market Snapshot In the “Fall of the Iranian Regime” market, the current price is 3.0% YES, unchanged from the...
Iran proposes three-stage plan to end hostilities with US
## Market Snapshot The market for “Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting” is currently relevant, with the proposal increasing the...
Israel buys fighter jets as US-Iran tensions rise
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market currently shows little indication of a meeting soon, with no...
OPEC+ raises oil output quotas amid Strait of Hormuz closure
## Market Snapshot In the “Crude Oil Price Predictions by June” market, current pricing reflects a 100% YES outcome for...
Pentagon estimates Iran war cost at $25B, lawmakers contest figures
## Market Snapshot Market: “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” is currently active with no specified YES pricing. The...
Spirit Airlines ceases operations after failed $500M bailout talks
## Market Snapshot Spirit Airlines shutdown market is currently priced at 100% YES, with no observed volume over the last...
Iran warns of control over Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?” is currently priced...
Drone strike near Zaporizhzhia plant heightens Russia-Ukraine tensions
## Market Snapshot Market: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026 Current YES Pricing: 6.0% Trend: Pricing stable over the last...
Michael Saylor plans major Bitcoin purchase amid market optimism
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price Predictions for May 2026 market currently shows a neutral stance with no specific pricing for...
Drone threats in Baltic states, Finland raise NATO-Russia clash concerns
## Market Snapshot The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market is priced at 5.9% YES, a slight decrease from 6% the previous day....
Iran issues one-month ultimatum to end US-Israeli conflict and blockade
## Market Snapshot The market “WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026” currently reflects uncertainty around the potential for oil...
Alphabet gains $420B in market cap, challenges Nvidia for top spot
## Market Snapshot In the market for “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on...
Israel intercepts projectiles from Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel withdraws from Lebanon” market, the June 30, 2026, sub-market is priced at 9.5% YES,...
Trump considers Iran peace proposal as Hormuz traffic halts
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” currently shows uncertainty with no active odds....
