Iran criticizes Europe over nuclear deal, diplomatic tensions rise
## Market Snapshot Activity around the “Iran Uranium Enrichment Agreement” shows a current pricing of 9.5% YES, down from 14%...
Prediction Markets
Alphabet’s Q1 earnings boost investor confidence, Google Cloud revenue up 63%
## Market Snapshot The prediction market focusing on Google’s stock price reaching $310 in April is currently priced at 100%...
US warns against paying Iran for Strait of Hormuz passage, raising tensions
## Market Snapshot The WTI Crude Oil Prices market for May 2026 currently shows uncertainty about reaching the $150 threshold,...
Jerome Powell to step down as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, remain as governor
## Market Snapshot Jerome Powell is set to step down as Federal Reserve Chair by May 15, 2026, with markets...
Trump hints at renewed strikes on Iran amid nuclear deal uncertainty
## Market Snapshot US-Iran nuclear deal market is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down from 16% 24 hours ago. The...
Iran sets one-month deadline for US negotiations amid nuclear tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?” currently prices at...
US ships 6,500 tons of munitions to Israel amid rising Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran Airspace Closure market currently shows 14.5% YES for a full closure by May 8, down from...
Iran-US hostilities expected to resume, impacting Hormuz blockade market
## Market Snapshot The “Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting” market currently has an uncertain YES pricing for dates around...
Iran submits 14-point proposal to US, aims to reopen Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The market for a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 32% YES,...
Beijing defies US sanctions, escalating tensions ahead of Trump-Xi summit
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Visit to China market shows 0.4% YES for May 3, 2026, as participants weigh geopolitical tensions....
Russia intercepts 270 Ukrainian drones amid ongoing conflict
## Market Snapshot In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions market, the likelihood of a ceasefire by May 31, 2026, is currently...
Hormuz deadlock persists as Trump faces War Powers deadline
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz...
Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge amid US-Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot In the “Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026” market, current pricing shows uncertainty with no clear YES...
Trump dismisses Iran proposal, signals continued diplomatic impasse
## Market Snapshot The market assessing whether the US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 is currently priced at...
Trump reviews Iran proposal amid potential diplomatic shift
## Market Snapshot The “next US x Iran diplomatic meeting” market is currently inactive with no recent volume, awaiting developments....
