US forces capture Nicolás Maduro, confirming removal before 2027
## Market Snapshot The “Next Leader Out Before 2027” market is directly impacted as Nicolás Maduro’s capture by U.S. forces...
Prediction Markets
Israel ramps up military operations in Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
## Market Snapshot Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 2.4% YES, down from 3%...
US confirms ongoing military operations in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently has no updated odds, while the “US Declaration of War...
Middle East tensions drive WTI crude oil prices higher, impacting Fed rate cut odds
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market suggests an increase in odds for reaching $150 per...
Anthropic CEO comments may impact Google’s AI model ranking by May
## Market Snapshot The “best AI model by May” market currently reflects implications of Anthropic’s CEO statements, suggesting a potential...
UN resolution demands Iran halt ship attacks, illegal tolls in Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The market concerning a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 shows a current pricing of 14.5% YES,...
Israel vows more destruction in Lebanon amid ongoing military operations
## Market Snapshot The market for “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026” is currently priced at...
Ripple CEO confirms no IPO plans despite $13T in payments processed
## Market Snapshot XRP price predictions for May are currently priced at 31% YES for reaching $1.60, showing a slight...
Trump expands Cuba sanctions, dims prospects for US-Iran nuclear deal
## Market Snapshot Iranian Demands Trump Will Agree To: Market indications are unclear with no current volume. US-Iran Nuclear Deal...
Trump administration declares end to hostilities with Iran, cites ceasefire
## Market Snapshot The market for “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” is currently priced at 17.5% YES, down...
US-Iran conflict fuels inflation, dims Fed rate cut prospects for 2026
## Market Snapshot The market for “Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026” is currently pricing supportive of a YES outcome,...
Iran seizes two ships, reducing Strait of Hormuz traffic amid tensions
## Market Snapshot In the “Strait of Hormuz Ship Transit” market, the probability of 20 ships transiting the strait on...
Trump warns of military action over Iran peace proposal dissatisfaction
## Market Snapshot The Israel-Iran permanent peace deal market is currently priced at 12% YES for June 30, 2026, down...
US sanctions Iranian currency exchanges, impacting oil trade with China
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market currently shows an increase in YES pricing, indicative of...
Iran attacks US Navy, UAE oil sites as Hormuz tensions escalate
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market is seeing increased activity, with YES pricing suggesting heightened probabilities. The...
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