Iran warns UAE over US-Israel ties, peace deal odds drop
## Market Snapshot Israel-Iran permanent peace deal markets show a decrease in YES pricing, with the June 30, 2026 contract...
Prediction Markets
Netanyahu’s West Bank annexation plan sparks political instability concerns
## Market Snapshot In the “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?” market, the YES pricing for a June 30 outcome...
Iran conflict drives oil prices up, impacts Thailand inflation
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price market: Currently priced at 100% YES for Bitcoin being above $66,000 on May 7. Fed...
S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit record highs as AI chip stocks surge
## Market Snapshot Market: S&P 500 Price Predictions for May 2026 Current pricing: Active sub-market odds unspecified for YES Trend:...
Strait of Hormuz closure reroutes shipping, strains African port capacity
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic by May is priced at 2.6% YES, reflecting minimal confidence in traffic normalization....
UAE exits OPEC amid Gulf tensions, impacting oil market dynamics
## Market Snapshot Market: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit $90 by end of June? Current pricing: 100% YES Trend: Recent...
Strait of Hormuz blockade fuels WTI crude oil price surge concerns
## Market Snapshot The WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is showing significant activity, with a focus on...
Iran continues attacks despite ceasefire, UAE reports over 500 missile strikes
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” is currently priced at 2.6% YES, down...
Trump, Xi to discuss Taiwan amid China’s military drills near island
## Market Snapshot The market on whether Donald Trump will visit China on May 7, 2026, is currently priced at...
Iran, China discuss ceasefire and Hormuz reopening amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for the fall of the Iranian regime by May 31 is currently priced at 2.6%...
Explosions reported in Iran’s Hormozgan province amid US-Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?” is priced at 6.5% YES, down from 26% 24 hours...
VP Vance campaigns in Iowa as GOP fears grow for 2026 midterms
## Market Snapshot The “Balance of Power in 2026 Midterms” market is currently focused on the potential for Democratic control...
Hezbollah’s unjammable drones escalate Israel-Lebanon tensions, impact withdrawal odds
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon” market sees a decrease in YES pricing, with current odds at 6.5%...
Middle East tensions, oil prices complicate Fed rate cut outlook for 2026
## Market Snapshot The market for a Fed rate cut by the June 2026 meeting is priced at 3.6% YES,...
US pauses naval escorts in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran talks
## Market Snapshot The market for “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15” is priced at 2.8%...
