Trump administration targets Chinese firms exploiting US AI models
The Trump administration announced a crackdown on Chinese companies allegedly exploiting US-made AI models, and the Polymarket contract on Alibaba...
Prediction Markets
US delegation arrives in Islamabad for ceasefire talks with Iran
An American delegation has arrived in Islamabad for ceasefire talks with Iran, pushing the odds of no US-Iran diplomatic meeting...
MegaETH token generation event set for month-end amid market anticipation
MegaETH’s token generation event (TGE) is set for the end of the month, pushing the odds of a token launch...
AWS integrates x402 protocol for crypto payments in cloud services
The x402 protocol has revived the HTTP 402 status code from 1997, enabling AI agents to pay for API calls...
Roberto Sánchez mobilizes protests in Peru against 2026 election results
Roberto Sánchez is mobilizing protests in Cajamarca, Huancavelica, and Lima, challenging the 2026 Peruvian election results. The market for Rafael...
Iran bars Israeli ships from Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
An Iranian lawmaker declared Israeli ships would be barred from the Strait of Hormuz. The market on Strait of Hormuz...
Senate gridlock on CLARITY Act dims XRP’s April $2.6 prospects
Galaxy reports that the odds of the CLARITY Act passing the Senate are about 50% and dropping, with bearish implications...
Slovenia’s president declines to propose PM candidate amid coalition impasse
Slovenia’s president has opted not to propose a candidate for prime minister after initial talks with political parties failed to...
Iran war disrupts supply chains, raises global medicine prices
Global medicine prices are rising as the Iran war disrupts supply chains. The crude oil all-time high by April 30...
Turkey open to Strait of Hormuz demining if Iran-US peace deal reached
Turkey’s Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said Ankara could participate in demining operations in the Strait of Hormuz if Iran and...
IRGC commanders dominate as Mojtaba Khamenei loses control in Iran
Israeli and US officials suggest Mojtaba Khamenei has lost control in Iran, with IRGC commanders calling the shots. The Iran...
Iran resumes commercial flights amid ongoing US-Israel conflict
Iran has resumed commercial flights from Tehran’s international airport for the first time since the conflict with the U.S. and...
US deploys F/A-18 jets to UAE amid Iran tensions, market impact unclear
The U.S. has sent a dozen F/A-18 fighter jets and other assets to Al Dhafra Air Base in the UAE....
OpenAI unveils GPT-5.5 model, settles release date markets YES
OpenAI announced the GPT-5.5 model, resolving the release date market entirely. The GPT-5.5 release by April 23 contract now sits...
Russia missile attack on Ukraine kills 4, injures 30, says Zelenskiy
Russia’s overnight missile attack on Ukraine killed four people and injured over 30, according to President Zelenskiy. The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire...
