Trump’s “Anaconda Plan” targets Iran with naval blockade, sanctions
Trump’s “Anaconda Plan” aims to choke Iran’s economy through a naval blockade and sanctions. The market for Trump agreeing to...
Prediction Markets
EU explores defense options outside NATO amid US withdrawal concerns
The European Union is exploring defense options outside NATO, potentially increasing the likelihood of a U.S. withdrawal from the alliance....
Iran firm on uranium enrichment demands, agreement unlikely by April 30
Iran’s Foreign Minister reiterated key demands during his visit to Islamabad, and the likelihood of Iran agreeing to end uranium...
Bitcoin rally stalls amid Japanese inflation and Iran tensions
Bitcoin’s recent rally paused as rising Japanese inflation and ongoing Iran war tensions introduced market uncertainty. The likelihood of Bitcoin...
Nvidia poised to become largest company by market cap amid AI stock surge
AI infrastructure stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 by 115% since December, and the Polymarket contract on NVIDIA being the...
Hezbollah launches drones at Israeli forces, IDF strikes back in Lebanon
Hezbollah launched explosive drones toward Israeli forces in southern Lebanon, with no casualties reported. The market for an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire...
Solana Foundation issues USDT loan to AAVE amid DeFi liquidity crisis
Solana Foundation Chair Lily Liu announced a USDT loan to Aave to support DeFi ecosystem recovery, while the Polymarket contract...
Major banks predict Bitcoin could hit $200k by 2026 despite steady market odds
Major banks have issued bullish Bitcoin price predictions for 2026, with targets ranging from $100k to $200k. The market for...
Pentagon shake-up impacts Iran conflict resolution markets
Newsmax host Greg Kelly attacked Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over the firing of Navy Secretary John Phelan, part of a...
Iran conflict boosts US crude exports to 5.2M barrels per day in April
U.S. crude exports are on track to reach 5.2 million barrels per day in April as the Iran conflict disrupts...
Bitcoin ETFs buy $223M in Bitcoin, reversing four-month outflow streak
Bitcoin ETFs bought over $223 million in Bitcoin today, and traders are now reassessing the likelihood of Bitcoin dipping to...
Iranian F-5 reportedly breaches US air defenses in Kuwait
An Iranian F-5 reportedly breached U.S. air defenses at Camp Buehring, Kuwait. This unverified claim has not moved odds on...
Israel’s right-wing figures consider new party to challenge Netanyahu
Talks of a new right-wing party alternative to Likud are underway, and the Polymarket contract on Netanyahu’s departure by June...
Iran warns US maritime actions risk decisive military response
Iran’s warning of a decisive response to US maritime actions has traders watching for potential escalation. The market for Iran...
Iran condemns US blockade of ports as ‘collective punishment’
Iran’s High Council for Human Rights condemned the US blockade of Iranian ports, calling it “collective punishment” against civilians. The...
