Iran mining in Strait of Hormuz renews UK warship deployment speculation
Iran’s mining activities in the Strait of Hormuz have renewed speculation about UK warship deployment, but the odds of the...
Prediction Markets
US cancels Iran peace talks, protests erupt in Tel Aviv
Protests broke out in Tel Aviv after the US canceled peace talks with Iran in Islamabad, and the Polymarket contract...
Bomb attack in Colombia kills 14 ahead of presidential election
A bomb attack in Colombia killed 14 and injured over 38, raising security concerns before the presidential election. Vicky Dávila’s...
Iran refuses talks under pressure, reinforcing uranium enrichment deadlock
President Masoud Pezeshkian declared Iran’s refusal to engage in talks while under pressure or blockade. Odds for Iran agreeing to...
Trump returns to White House, announces imminent press conference
Trump’s return to the White House and announcement of an imminent news conference has traders reassessing the likelihood of him...
Karaganov’s remarks complicate Russia-Ukraine ceasefire prospects by 2026
Sergey Karaganov’s aggressive remarks on Russia 24 further complicate the potential for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, with the ceasefire by May...
Bitcoin sharks accumulate 37,920 BTC as Middle East tensions ease
Bitcoin sharks have amassed over 37,920 BTC as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East ease, according to Trading View. The...
Iran ramps up executions as regime maintains control amid protests
Iran has ramped up executions of political prisoners, and the market for the Iranian regime falling by May 31 now...
Trump halts US-Iran peace talks, April 30 deal market plummets
Trump pulled the plug on US-Iran peace talks, and the April 30 permanent peace deal market dropped to 3.8% YES,...
Iran proposes talks framework with US, highlights deep trust issues
Iran has proposed a framework for talks with the US while stressing deep distrust. The “no qualifying diplomatic meeting by...
Iran-linked hackers expose Israeli special ops officers’ identities
Handala, a pro-resistance hacking group linked to Iran, published the identities of senior officers from an elite Israeli special ops...
Balancer attacker converts $48.7M ETH to 617 BTC, retains 1k ETH
A Balancer attacker has converted 21k ETH (about $48.7M) to 617 BTC over three days, leaving only 1k ETH in...
Iran intensifies efforts to keep Strait of Hormuz shut amid US blockade
Shipping officials have warned that the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is escalating volatility as Iran intensifies efforts...
Trump evacuated from White House dinner amid US-Iran tensions
President Trump was evacuated from the White House correspondents’ dinner in Washington, D.C., during a period of heightened US-Iran tensions....
38 Attorneys General Back Massachusetts Lawsuit Against Kalshi Over Prediction Markets
Key Takeaways: Coalition of 38 attorneys general supports Massachusetts lawsuit alleging Kalshi enables unlicensed sports betting activity. CFTC filing adds...
