Iran-US conflict disrupts pistachio exports, Strait of Hormuz shipping strained
The Iran-US conflict is complicating pistachio exports from Iran, straining an already tight market. Crude oil all-time high by April...
Prediction Markets
North Korean group steals $285M from crypto platforms in six-month operation
A North Korean state-sponsored group, UNC4736, stole $285 million from crypto platforms in a six-month operation. The market predicting another...
Strait of Hormuz restrictions fail to move WTI Crude Oil $160 market
Ongoing restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz have not moved Polymarket’s oil price contracts. WTI Crude Oil reaching $160 in...
Trump to visit Beijing for summit with Xi on May 14-15
President Trump is confirmed to visit Beijing for a summit with President Xi, scheduled for May 14-15. The odds of...
US-Iran peace deal odds plummet as negotiations stall
Negotiations between the U.S. and Iran may be a tactical maneuver to frame Iran as refusing peace, potentially justifying a...
Strategy boosts Bitcoin holdings to 815,061 BTC, valued at $63.4B
MicroStrategy has increased its Bitcoin holdings to 815,061 BTC, valued at $63.46 billion, while the Polymarket contract for Bitcoin reaching...
Iranian diplomat Araghchi may meet US officials, WSJ reports
Iranian diplomat Araghchi might meet with the US side, according to WSJ. The probability of a diplomatic meeting occurring by...
US-Israeli strikes, blockade strain Iran’s economy amid regime change speculation
US-Israeli strikes and a US naval blockade are putting heavy pressure on Iran’s economy. The odds of the Iranian regime...
US military supply chain dependency on China raises conflict concerns
Larry Johnson’s warning about U.S. military supply chain dependency on China has pushed traders to reassess conflict odds. The market...
US military runs live Bitcoin node for national security testing
The US military has revealed it is running a live Bitcoin node as part of national security testing. On Polymarket,...
Iranian FM heads to Pakistan for US-Iran ceasefire talks
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is en route to Islamabad as part of diplomatic efforts to extend the US-Iran ceasefire,...
UN warns of medical supply shortages in Iran amid conflict
The UN warned of looming medical supply shortages in Iran amid ongoing conflict. The market on Strait of Hormuz traffic...
Tim Cook backs John Ternus as Apple’s next CEO with foldable iPhone plans
Tim Cook is backing his successor John Ternus with plans for a foldable iPhone, and the Next CEO of Apple...
Bitcoin freeze proposal sparks debate on quantum risks, supply impact
A proposal to freeze 5.6 million dormant Bitcoin addresses has triggered debate over quantum computing risks and potential supply disruption....
Iranian MP warns of possible war, urges public readiness
An Iranian parliament member has warned of a possible war and urged public preparedness without causing panic. The statement has...
