Iran rejects demands on Strait of Hormuz, uranium enrichment halt
Iranian lawmaker Mahmoud Nabavian has dismissed demands for a role in managing the Strait of Hormuz and a 20-year halt...
Prediction Markets
600 ships stranded in Strait of Hormuz, disrupting regional trade
Over 600 commercial ships remain stranded in the Strait of Hormuz, pushing the odds of traffic normalization by May 15...
Gunman opens fire at White House Correspondents’ Dinner, Trump evacuated
Secret Service agents evacuated Donald Trump and cabinet members after a gunman opened fire at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner,...
Zelensky urges end to Russian nuclear threats on Chornobyl anniversary
President Zelensky marked the 40th anniversary of Chornobyl by urging an end to “Russian nuclear terrorism.” The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by...
Oman mediates US-Iran talks, no breakthrough on uranium stockpile surrender
The Sultan of Oman met with Iran’s Foreign Minister to discuss regional developments and mediation efforts. The odds of Iran...
Lebanon PM criticizes focus on minor issues over Hezbollah disarmament
Lebanon’s PM Nawaf Salam criticized security forces for focusing on minor issues instead of Hezbollah disarmament. The Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by...
US crude exports hit record 5.2M barrels amid Iran conflict
US crude exports have reached a record 5.2 million barrels per day during the ongoing Iran conflict. The US-Iran nuclear...
Tehran-Washington talks stall, casting doubt on Iran uranium deal by April 30
Tehran-Washington talks have stalled, casting doubt on Iran ending uranium enrichment by April 30. The odds for this market have...
Trump cancels envoy trip, Iran talks stall as diplomatic market collapses
Trump’s cancellation of his envoys’ trip to Iran and Tehran’s refusal to negotiate under threat have frozen diplomatic progress. The...
Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF hits $184M inflows amid US-Iran ceasefire
Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF, $MSBT, has reached $184 million in total inflows without a single day of outflows, a streak...
Iran missile strikes on GCC states threaten Gulf-backed deals, oil supply
The ongoing war involving Iran has put billions in Gulf-backed deals in jeopardy. Crude oil reaching an all-time high by...
Trump escalates Iran strategy with naval blockade, frozen crypto assets
Trump’s latest strategy includes a naval blockade and frozen crypto assets. The odds of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by...
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire unlikely as military buildup continues
Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar’s remarks point to continued military buildup despite ceasefire talks. The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30 contract...
Gunman targets Trump at White House Correspondents’ Dinner, leaders evacuated
A gunman opened fire at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, targeting President Trump. Odds for a Trump public insult by...
Iran conflict drives pistachio prices to 8-year high amid Hormuz blockade
The Iran conflict has disrupted pistachio exports, pushing prices to an 8-year high at $4.57 per pound amid the effective...
