Trump imposes oil blockade on Cuba amid US-Iran tensions
The Trump administration has implemented an oil blockade against Cuba. The Polymarket contract on crude oil hitting an all-time high...
Prediction Markets
Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon complicate diplomacy as Iran negotiates in Oman
Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon followed evacuation orders, complicating diplomacy while Iran negotiates in Oman. The Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April...
Israel deploys Iron Dome to UAE amid Iranian missile, drone attacks
Israel has secretly deployed an Iron Dome battery with IDF troops to the UAE in response to Iran firing around...
Tillis lifts blockade, clearing path for Warsh’s Fed Chair nomination by May 15
Senator Thom Tillis has lifted his blockade of Kevin Warsh’s nomination to head the Federal Reserve. After the Justice Department...
Strait of Hormuz traffic nearly halted amid Iran-US blockades
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is nearly at a standstill, with blockades from both Iran and the US showing...
Tesla vandalism rises as protesters target Musk over government role
Incidents of Tesla vandalism are increasing as protesters target Elon Musk over his role in the U.S. Department of Government...
Iran warns US, Israel of stronger retaliation amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
A senior Iranian commander warned that the US and Israel would face stronger retaliation if they launched more strikes. Strait...
Bitcoin nears $78K with 4th straight weekly gain amid US-Iran ceasefire
Bitcoin is closing in on its fourth consecutive green weekly candle, rising 5.64% this week to hit $78,000. The Polymarket...
Reports of sexual abuse surge in Iranian prisons amid regime crackdown
Reports of sexual abuse in Iranian prisons have surged following the regime’s crackdown on dissent. The odds of the Iranian...
Trump cancels envoy trip, Iran ceasefire talks uncertain
Pakistani officials confirmed there are no immediate plans for US envoys to return to Islamabad for talks. The Polymarket contract...
Israeli military orders evacuation of seven Lebanese towns amid ongoing operations
The Israeli military has issued an evacuation warning for seven Lebanese towns north of the Litani River. The market on...
Iran war strains Gulf economies, complicates US-Iran diplomacy
The ongoing Iran war is straining Gulf economies and complicating diplomacy. Odds of no US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30...
Israeli airstrikes hit Burj Qalawayh amid dormant ceasefire markets
Israeli airstrikes targeted the town of Burj Qalawayh in southern Lebanon. The Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30 market sits at...
Lebanese PM challenges Hezbollah, complicates Israel talks
Lebanese PM Salam reaffirmed state control over armed forces, directly challenging Hezbollah’s military role. The Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting...
Bitcoin nears $80K, $2.2B in short positions at risk of liquidation
A potential liquidation of $2.25 billion in crypto short positions looms if Bitcoin reaches $80,000, and the Bitcoin dip to...
