Pentagon says clearing Hormuz mines may take six months, impacting oil prices
A Pentagon assessment puts the timeline to clear mines from the Strait of Hormuz at six months, a delay that...
Prediction Markets
Trump’s actions spark fears of global arms race, says Major General Manner
Major General Randy Manner says Trump’s actions have sparked fears of a global arms race. The odds of Trump agreeing...
US seizes ships aiding Iran as Hormuz blockade expands
The US is now intercepting and seizing ships aiding Iran beyond the Strait of Hormuz, and the odds of Trump...
Khamenei opposes extending US talks, raising conflict risk
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has opposed extending negotiations with the US, according to Iranian MP Ali Khazarian. The market...
Iran halts executions of eight women after Trump appeal
Iran agreed to halt the executions of eight women linked to anti-regime protests following an appeal by Trump. The Iranian...
Long-term holders absorb 303K Bitcoin, stabilizing price above $60K
Long-term holders absorbed 303K Bitcoin in the past 30 days, pushing the likelihood of Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April...
Iran seizes two ships in Strait of Hormuz, raising oil supply concerns
Iran seized two ships in the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions over oil supply routes, and the Polymarket contract...
Iran seizes two ships in Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions
Iran seized two commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, and the market for Iran conducting military action by April...
Zelensky warns Iran conflict may limit Ukraine’s US air defense access
Zelensky warned that the ongoing Iran conflict could limit Ukraine’s access to US air defenses. The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May...
BlackRock clients invest $246.8M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical hedge strategy
BlackRock clients have bought $246.86 million worth of Bitcoin. The likelihood of Bitcoin being above $68,000 today is at 99.9%...
CHIP token hits $830M market cap, confirming USD.AI FDV question resolution
USD AI’s CHIP token hit a market cap of $830 million, confirming a YES resolution for USD.AI’s FDV question. The...
Ukrainian drones strike Russia’s Tuapse oil refinery, impacting crude supply
Ukrainian drones struck Russia’s Tuapse oil refinery, and the Polymarket contract for crude oil hitting $90 by June 30 sits...
Ian Bremmer: Trump loses leverage in Iran talks, oil sanctions relief unlikely
Ian Bremmer claims Trump has lost all leverage in the Iran negotiations. The odds of Trump agreeing to Iranian demands...
Aberdeen sees £2.9B outflows in Q1 amid US-Iran conflict volatility
Aberdeen Group announced £2.9 billion in net outflows for Q1, citing market volatility from the US-Iran conflict. The Polymarket contract...
Circle launches USDC Nanopayments testnet for gas-free micro-transactions
Circle’s USDC Nanopayments testnet is live, enabling gas-free micro-transactions down to $0.000001. The market for USDC depeg by December 31...
