US-Iran peace talks may resume Friday amid tense ceasefire
The New York Post reports that a second round of U.S.-Iran peace talks might begin as soon as Friday. The...
Prediction Markets
Iran military on high alert as US ceasefire deadline approaches
Iran’s military is on high alert, signaling potential escalation as the ceasefire with the US faces expiration. Odds for a...
Bitcoin hits $75K as institutional demand, spot ETFs drive rally
Bitcoin’s rally to $75,000, fueled by institutional demand and spot ETFs rather than leveraged longs, has pushed the probability of...
Bitcoin surpasses $79k amid US-Iran-Israel tensions
Bitcoin has surged past $79,000 as US-Iran-Israel tensions escalate, pushing the odds of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 by the end of...
Iran threatens power plant retaliation if US strikes escalate
Iran has threatened retaliation against regional power plants should US strikes intensify, according to Fox News. The odds of Iranian...
Trump sets April 30 deadline for Iran to propose negotiation plan
President Trump has set a deadline for Iran to present a unified proposal for restarting negotiations, tying the ceasefire timeline...
US and Iran near nuclear framework, ceasefire odds remain low
Iran and the United States are reportedly nearing a framework to curb Iran’s nuclear enrichment, according to sources citing the...
Iran drone attacks close Strait of Hormuz, doubling Dutch TTF gas prices
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, triggered by Iranian drone attacks, has intensified Europe’s energy crisis. The odds of...
Iran calls US naval blockade an “act of war,” demands forceful response
Iran has labeled the U.S. naval blockade as an “act of war,” demanding a forceful response. The probability of a...
Trump extends Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifting focus to diplomacy
Trump announced an indefinite extension of the ceasefire with Iran. The ceasefire by April 30 market sits at 14% YES,...
US-Iran talks collapse over uranium, ceasefire deal by April 30 unlikely
U.S.-Iran negotiations broke down over uranium stockpile dismantlement, and the market for a U.S.-Iran ceasefire by April 30 dropped from...
Trump extends Iran ceasefire as Tehran showcases missiles in parade
US President Donald Trump announced an indefinite extension of the Iran ceasefire as Tehran showcased ballistic missiles in a military...
Bitcoin hits $78K after US-Iran ceasefire extension
Bitcoin surged to $78,000 on April 22, 2026, following news of a ceasefire extension between the United States and Iran....
Iran seizes two vessels, maintains control in Persian Gulf
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards seized two vessels and directed them to Iranian territorial waters. The regime fall by April 30 market...
Trump claims Iran “collapsing financially” amid US naval blockade
President Trump declared that Iran is “collapsing financially” due to the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The...
