Bitcoin $60K dip in April sees odds decline as traders price out drop
The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April is trading at 1.2% YES, down from 2% a day...
Prediction Markets
Bennett’s Haredi enlistment critique pressures Netanyahu’s coalition stability
Naftali Bennett’s criticism of the Israeli government over mandatory Haredi enlistment has intensified political pressure on Netanyahu’s coalition, which relies...
Traders bet $430M on falling oil prices before Trump extends Iran ceasefire
Traders placed $430 million in bearish bets on oil prices just before President Trump extended the Iran ceasefire. WTI Crude...
Trump demands Iran proposal as uranium deadline nears
Trump is demanding a unified proposal from Iran with only seven days left before the April 30 deadline. The uranium...
UK to deploy mine-sweepers in Strait of Hormuz for de-mining effort
The UK plans to send mine-sweeping vessels as part of a multinational de-mining effort in the Strait of Hormuz. The...
Schwab launches Bitcoin, Ethereum trading with 0.7% fee per trade
Charles Schwab has launched spot trading for Bitcoin and Ethereum, charging 0.75% per trade, while maintaining $0 commissions on stocks...
Over 100 Basij members poisoned in Tehran, one dead, others hospitalized
Someone poisoned over 100 Basij members in Tehran, killing one and hospitalizing others. The odds of the Iranian regime falling...
AAVE deposits fall to $29.6B after KelpDAO exploit, $16.2B outflows recorded
Aave’s total deposits have dropped to $29.6 billion from $45.8 billion following the KelpDAO rsETH exploit, with cumulative outflows reaching...
A Hair Dryer May Have Gamed a Paris Weather Sensor for $34,000 on Polymarket
Key Takeaways:Rule changes for Paris temperature market on Polymarket. The incident drew attention on French meteorology forums, including Infoclimat.fr, where...
Iran ceasefire boosts Bitcoin speculation, $80K contract surges
The Iran ceasefire has doubled Bitcoin’s odds on Polymarket, with the Bitcoin $80,000 in April contract now at 76% YES,...
US halts $500M Iraq oil shipment to curb Iran-linked militias
The US has stopped a $500M shipment of Iraq’s oil dollars to curb Iran-linked militias, and odds for a US-Iran...
Iranian group threatens Trump family amid domestic unrest
A suspected Iranian front group, Harakat Ashab al-Yamin al-Islamia, has threatened violence against the Trump family. The threat comes as...
Pakistan boosts Islamabad security amid possible US-Iran talks
Pakistan is ramping up security in Islamabad ahead of possible US-Iran negotiations, and the Polymarket ceasefire-by-April-30 contract trades at 17.5%...
US Embassy urges Americans to leave Lebanon as ceasefire collapses
The US Embassy in Lebanon has urged Americans to leave the country after a ceasefire broke down. The odds of...
Fed rate cuts delayed to late 2026 amid Iran conflict inflation risks
Fed Chair Jerome Powell announced that rate cuts are now expected in late 2026 due to inflation risks from the...
