Pakistan mediates US-Iran ceasefire talks amid market volatility
Pakistan is acting as intermediary in US-Iran ceasefire negotiations hosted in Islamabad. The ceasefire extension market for April 21 sits...
Prediction Markets
NASDAQ to tokenize all listed stocks by 2026, shifting fees to blockchain
Nasdaq has filed with the SEC to tokenize all its listed stocks by 2026, a move that would redirect trading...
US Navy seizes sanctioned Iranian ship Touska in Arabian Sea
The U.S. Navy seized the Iranian-flagged ship Touska in the Arabian Sea, a vessel already under U.S. sanctions. Polymarket odds...
Lebanon sidelines Iran in peace talks, appoints ex-US ambassador for Israel talks
Lebanon has sidelined Iran in its peace talks with Israel, appointing Simon Karam, a former U.S. ambassador and Hezbollah critic,...
Polymarket in Talks to Raise $400 Million at $15 Billion Valuation: Report
Key Takeaways: Polymarket is reportedly in advanced talks to raise $400 million at a $15 billion valuation, per The Information....
Vance stays in US, delaying potential US-Iran talks amid G20 focus on trade impact
Vice President JD Vance remains stateside, delaying potential US-Iran negotiations. The market for a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026,...
Iran denies Trump’s negotiation claims amid diplomatic stalemate
Trump’s claims of active negotiations with Iran have been denied by Iranian officials, with US-Iran diplomatic meeting odds sitting below...
Institutional investors acquire $2.5B in Bitcoin, boosting April price targets
Lookonchain’s latest report reveals a $2.54B Bitcoin acquisition by institutional investors. The probability of Bitcoin exceeding $62,000 on April 17...
Wells Fargo CEO: No rate cuts until Iran conflict ends
Wells Fargo CEO says lowering interest rates would be wrong until the Iran conflict ends. The odds for a 25...
Strait of Hormuz traffic remains low amid naval tensions, reopening claims fail
With one day remaining before the April 19 deadline, the market for fewer than 10 ships transiting the Strait of...
UK PM Starmer calls Mandelson envoy appointment a mistake amid Epstein ties
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer admitted appointing Peter Mandelson as UK ambassador to the US was a mistake due to...
Lazarus Group exploits KelpDAO bridge, siphons $228M in ETH
A recent exploit of KelpDAO’s bridge by the Lazarus Group has left the Ethereum community on edge. The attacker minted...
SEC’s Atkins scrutinizes prediction markets, eases crypto rules
SEC Chair Paul Atkins is increasing scrutiny on prediction markets while loosening crypto regulations. The USD.AI FDV above $300M one...
Lagarde cites uncertainty, ECB holds off on rate cut decision amid Iran conflict
ECB President Christine Lagarde’s call for more information before deciding on policy has left the odds of a 50+ bps...
Israeli map shows troops remain in Lebanon despite ceasefire calls
Israel’s new map confirms troops remain in Lebanon despite withdrawal calls. The market for Israel announcing a suspension of its...
